Newmarket 16:20 RESULTED
Class 3 19 Sep 2026

Last Saturday Turners Cesarewitch Trial Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)

Turners Cesarewitch Trial Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race) · 2m2f

Official Result

Turners Cesarewitch Trial Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Premiere Ligne (FR) Harry Davies · Hughie Morrison
    4/1
  2. 5/2
  3. 14/1
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 9 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
In The Breeze silks
In The Breeze
Age 8 · 10-2
-10102
93
91
92
8
10-2
5/2 FCST 2/1
In The Breeze arrives in fine nick, second last time out and a winner three starts back, boasting two wins in his last five starts; he acts on today's going and, as the top-rated runner, is the one to beat off 142 lb.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Gooloogong silks
Gooloogong
Age 6 · 9-12
-14631
89
88
87
6
9-12
11/4 5/2 11/4
Gooloogong won last time out and was third two starts back, giving him a lively recent profile, though he carries 138 lb here and our assessment places him fifth of seven, suggesting he faces a stiff task at this level despite his going experience.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Squire Danagher silks
Squire Danagher
Age 6 · 9-12
711/19
89
78
89
6
9-12
13/2 12/1 6/1
Squire Danagher arrives here in fine fettle, a winner three of his last five starts, with the most recent of those victories two runs back, and he has experience of today's distance and going; the chief concern is that ninth on his latest outing suggests he can blow hot and cold.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Percy Shelley silks
Percy Shelley
Age 7 · 9-7
2-4624
84
88
89
7
9-7
11/4 4/1 11/4
Consistent enough to make the shortlist, Percy Shelley brings solid fitness stepping out just 13 days on, has experience of today's going, and our rating of 89 puts him firmly in contention — the concern is he remains winless in his last five starts, suggesting a finishing kick that doesn't always deliver.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Appier silks
Appier
Age 7 · 9-1
306134
78
83
82
7
9-1
7/1
Ranked sixth of seven on our figures and firmly up against it with a trainer striking at just 3% in the past fortnight, Appier faces a stiff task here despite a win three starts back and experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Premiere Ligne silks
Premiere Ligne
Age 7 · 8-12
/96765
75
84
88
7
8-12
4/1 7/1 7/2
Premiere Ligne's rating of 88 puts him well clear of his official mark and flags him as a lively danger, and he returns on a sharp 20-day turnaround with experience of today's trip and conditions; the concern is that he has been winless in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Rogue Empire silks
Rogue Empire
Age 4 · 8-11
311193
73
85
75
4
8-11
6/1 15/2 6/1
Rogue Empire arrives third last time out after a ninth two starts back — that dip in form is hard to ignore, and he ranks last of seven on our figures, with his speed rating a notable concern. The going experience and return to form beforehand offer slim grounds for optimism.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 In The Breeze 5/2 2/1 9/4 9/4 5/2 9/4 5/2 Bet365
2 Gooloogong 11/4 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 Paddy Power
3 Squire Danagher 13/2 open 13.00 6/1 open 13.00 13/2 open 13.00 13/2 open 13.00 13/2 open 13.00 6/1 open 13.00 13/2 Bet365
4 Percy Shelley 11/4 open 5.50 11/4 open 5.00 11/4 open 5.00 11/4 open 5.00 11/4 open 5.50 11/4 open 5.00 11/4 Bet365
5 Appier 7/1 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 Bet365
6 Premiere Ligne 4/1 open 9.00 7/2 open 8.50 4/1 open 8.00 4/1 open 8.00 4/1 open 9.00 4/1 open 8.00 4/1 Bet365
7 Rogue Empire 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Gooloogong

Speculative

Gooloogong owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 George Baker Benoit de la Sayette
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Percy Shelley

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · James Owen
✓ Value Signal

Premiere Ligne

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

4/1 · Hughie Morrison
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Gooloogong
55.8 11/4
2 4. Percy Shelley
54.7 11/4
3 1. In The Breeze
54.5 5/2
4 6. Premiere Ligne
53.1 4/1
5 5. Appier
51.7 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Percy Shelley
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 8 · 10-2
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 6 · 9-12
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 7 · 9-7
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 7 · 8-12
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 4 · 8-11
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 6 · 9-12
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 7 · 9-1
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Percy Shelley
Confidence: Speculative

Percy Shelley (SR:88, 11/4) carries the most favourable weight of the top-rated trio at 9-7, giving him a 9lb pull on In The Breeze (10-2) and a 5lb advantage on Gooloogong (9-12) despite matching both on SR:88. The 27% market shortening is a strong steamer signal that connections are confident, and trainer James Owen (19% strike rate from 2203 runners) is among the most potent handlers in the field. Course form of W0P1 at Newmarket adds familiarity, and while GoingFit:~ is not ideal, no runner in this field has a confirmed good-ground distance edge — all are DistFit:? at 2m2f — levelling that concern across the board. Each-way alternative: In The Breeze. Main danger: In The Breeze — In The Breeze (SR:91, 5/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), while Billy Loughnane (18% strike rate from 3015 runners) is a high-quality booking — that SR edge could prove decisive despite the weight burden of 10-2.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Percy Shelley's last 4 runs read 4-6-2-4 with the sole placed effort at a lower grade; his form string shows no win since the hyphen gap, suggesting a horse that consistently finds one or more too go…
  • In The Breeze carries SR:91 — three points superior — and despite the 9lb weight concession, a horse rated that much higher at an identical course (W0P1) ridden by the in-form Billy Loughnane (18% st…
  • Squire Danagher has steamed in 35% with a hidden hurdles flag (HG:p) suggesting connections believe good/soft Newmarket ground suits today — if the going leans soft, Percy Shelley's GoingFit:~ become…
  • Percy Shelley's mark has not moved (MarkMv: none listed) while rivals like Gooloogong (+11) and In The Breeze (+6) have risen, implying the handicapper views him as fairly treated with no unexploited…
Shortlist Percy Shelley, In The Breeze, Gooloogong, Appier
Each-way: In The Breeze Danger: In The Breeze

🗺 The Course Class 3

2m2f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Newmarket Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade