BAR 1 Betting 'Best Odds Guaranteed Overnight' Flat Race

17:12 Navan Sat 19 Sep 2026 1m7f165y Good 15 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Emergency Man

SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 22%

11TH

Mr Fox says

Emergency Man (SR:89, 9/2) carries the second-highest SR in the field and is one of only a handful of runners with any competitive form evidence — a 2-3 sequence that shows he has already run and finished placed, unlike the majority of debutants here. Crucially, he is the only runner showing market support (Mkt:in8%), meaning informed money has moved in his direction since opening. His trainer Paul Nolan operates at 10% overall which is workmanlike but his jockey's record is modest, however the market signal overrides that concern. With 28 days since his last run and a form line showing a third and a second, he arrives fit and in competitive shape for a race where most rivals are unknown quantities. Each-way alternative: Ellen Imlach. Main danger: El Paraiso — El Paraiso holds the third-highest SR (92) in the field, is trained by Henry de Bromhead (16% strike rate, 2285 runners — a significant operation) with a jockey at 20%, and at 3/1 is the market leader, meaning despite the 11% drift it commands market respect that could reflect stable confidence on debut.

Verify· #18720

Full result

Winner: Double Helix (IRE) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.