Navan 17:12 RESULTED
19 Sep 2026

Last Saturday BAR 1 Betting 'Best Odds Guaranteed Overnight' Flat Race

BAR 1 Betting 'Best Odds Guaranteed Overnight' Flat Race · 1m7f165y

Official Result

BAR 1 Betting 'Best Odds Guaranteed Overnight' Flat Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Double Helix (IRE) Mr P W Mullins · Charles Weld
    12/1
  2. Second Sharbel (IRE)
    8/1
  3. 6/5F
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Settled
  • 15 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 9 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Caprison silks
Caprison
Age 4 · 11-10
82
4
11-10
11/1 9/1 10/1
Caprison makes his debut carrying 164 lb for a trainer yet to land a winner in the past fortnight, but as an unexposed gelding with everything still to prove, he remains open to any improvement his first start brings.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Double Helix silks
Double Helix
Age 4 · 11-10
75
4
11-10
14/1 14/1 10/1
Unraced and entirely unexposed, Double Helix arrives with his potential unknown and a career ahead of him; carrying 164 lb on debut, he merits a watching brief as connections learn what they have on their hands.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
El Paraiso silks
El Paraiso
Age 4 · 11-10
92
4
11-10
11/4 9/4 11/4
Unexposed and open to improvement on debut, El Paraiso is yet to score but carries 164 lb into this first start and could be anything at this stage.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Emergency Man silks
Emergency Man
Age 4 · 11-10
23
89
88
4
11-10
7/2 4/1 3/1
Emergency Man has been consistently placed in his last two starts — third most recently, and a runner-up two starts back — and he has run over today's trip and going before, making him a genuine danger; the risk is that he remains yet to score, and the weight burden of 164 lb could blunt his finishing effort.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Lanespark silks
Lanespark
Age 4 · 11-10
0
65
4
11-10
28/1 22/1 25/1
Lightly raced and unexposed, Lanespark returns after 54 days carrying 164 lb, yet to score from his last start and representing a trainer in lean form; still, with so little known, he could yet surprise.
AI verdict

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

6
Mister Moon silks
Mister Moon
Age 4 · 11-10
67
4
11-10
25/1 33/1 22/1
Unexposed on debut, Mister Moon arrives with an open profile and plenty of scope for improvement, carrying 164 lb as he takes his first steps in the sport and bids to break his duck at the first time of asking.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Oneforbeano silks
Oneforbeano
Age 4 · 11-10
67
4
11-10
50/1 33/1 40/1
Unexposed on debut, Oneforbeano arrives with plenty of questions unanswered but with upside to find as he steps into competitive company for the first time, carrying 164 lb.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Rocky Alfonso silks
Rocky Alfonso
Age 4 · 11-10
4
78
95
4
11-10
13/2
Rocky Alfonso shaped with plenty of promise when fourth last time out and has run over today's trip, while 46 days between runs keeps him fresh heading into a deep field; the main risk is he remains yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Sharbel silks
Sharbel
Age 4 · 11-10
6
76
96
4
11-10
14/1 12/1 14/1
Rated second of the fifteen runners on our figures, Sharbel has experience over today's trip and returns here with a solid weight-carrying profile at 164 lb, making him a genuine threat despite being winless in recent starts; the 54-day absence is the one angle to weigh up.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Walkwithmyfriend silks
Walkwithmyfriend
Age 4 · 11-10
4-4
73
84
4
11-10
6/1 13/2 6/1
Winless in his last two starts and ranked fifth of fifteen on our figures, Walkwithmyfriend is hard to fancy at face value, though he returns on a quick turnaround of just 16 days, has experience of today's going, and a pair of fourths suggests some consistency.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Ellen Imlach silks
Ellen Imlach
Age 4 · 11-3
94
4
11-3
SP 4/1 9/2
Unraced and entirely unexposed, Ellen Imlach steps into the unknown on debut carrying 157 lb, with her potential an open question and every reason to think improvement lies ahead as connections get a first look at her.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Hee Hiles silks
Hee Hiles
Age 4 · 11-3
7
69
4
11-3
33/1 28/1 33/1
Unexposed and open to improvement, Hee Hiles was seventh last time out in her only recent start and remains yet to win, but lightly raced fillies of her profile can step forward sharply, and 26 days between runs suggests she returns fresh here.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Not A Whisper silks
Not A Whisper
Age 4 · 11-3
4
86
4
11-3
8/1 11/1 8/1
Unexposed and still open to improvement, Not A Whisper is yet to win in recent starts but shaped with promise when fourth last time out, returning here after 71 days carrying 157 lb.
AI verdict

SR 86 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Sierra's Dream silks
Sierra's Dream
Age 4 · 11-3
4
85
102
4
11-3
18/1 20/1 16/1
Ranked top of 15 on our rating, Sierra's Dream has run over today's trip and going before and, despite being yet to win in recent starts, she shaped with promise on her latest outing 42 days ago; 157 lb is the one weight to overcome.
AI verdict

SR 85 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Thats It Ruby silks
Thats It Ruby
Age 4 · 11-3
70
4
11-3
33/1 25/1 28/1
Unexposed on debut and open to all improvement, Thats It Ruby steps into the unknown here but her lack of exposed form makes her an intriguing unknown quantity carrying 157 lb on her first start.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Caprison 11/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 11/1 Bet365
2 Double Helix 14/1 open 19.00 10/1 open 15.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365
3 El Paraiso 11/4 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 Bet365
4 Emergency Man 7/2 open 6.00 10/3 open 5.00 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.50 7/2 Bet365
5 Lanespark 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 26.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 28/1 Bet365
6 Mister Moon 25/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 25/1 Bet365
7 Oneforbeano 50/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 50/1 Bet365
8 Rocky Alfonso 13/2 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 7/1 15/2 Paddy Power
9 Sharbel 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 Paddy Power
10 Walkwithmyfriend 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 8.00 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 open 7.50 6/1 Bet365
11 Ellen Imlach 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 9/2 9/2 5/1 open 5.50 9/2 5/1 Bet365
12 Hee Hiles 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 Bet365
13 Not A Whisper 8/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 21.00 8/1 open 15.00 8/1 open 15.00 8/1 open 15.00 8/1 open 15.00 14/1 Paddy Power
14 Sierra's Dream 18/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 18/1 Bet365
15 Thats It Ruby 33/1 open 41.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 33/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

El Paraiso

Speculative

El Paraiso owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Henry de Bromhead Mr J L Gleeson
76% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Emergency Man

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Paul Nolan
✓ Value Signal

Oneforbeano

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Ian Patrick Donoghue
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. El Paraiso
58.9 11/4
2 4. Emergency Man
53.5 7/2
3 8. Rocky Alfonso
51.0 13/2
4 10. Walkwithmyfriend
50.6 6/1
5 13. Not A Whisper
49.7 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Emergency Man
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 4 · 11-10
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 4 · 11-10
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 4 · 11-10
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 4 · 11-10
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 4 · 11-3
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 4 · 11-10
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 4 · 11-10
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 4 · 11-10
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 4 · 11-3
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Emergency Man
Confidence: Speculative

Emergency Man (SR:89, 9/2) carries the second-highest SR in the field and is one of only a handful of runners with any competitive form evidence — a 2-3 sequence that shows he has already run and finished placed, unlike the majority of debutants here. Crucially, he is the only runner showing market support (Mkt:in8%), meaning informed money has moved in his direction since opening. His trainer Paul Nolan operates at 10% overall which is workmanlike but his jockey's record is modest, however the market signal overrides that concern. With 28 days since his last run and a form line showing a third and a second, he arrives fit and in competitive shape for a race where most rivals are unknown quantities. Each-way alternative: Ellen Imlach. Main danger: El Paraiso — El Paraiso holds the third-highest SR (92) in the field, is trained by Henry de Bromhead (16% strike rate, 2285 runners — a significant operation) with a jockey at 20%, and at 3/1 is the market leader, meaning despite the 11% drift it commands market respect that could reflect stable confidence on debut.

Case against 4 clamped
  • El Paraiso holds a superior SR of 92 and is trained by Henry de Bromhead (16% strike rate vs Nolan's 10%), representing a meaningfully stronger handler edge despite drifting 11% in the market.
  • Ellen Imlach (SR:94, highest in field) is trained by Gordon Elliott at 18% with a 19%-strike jockey — both trainer and jockey stats significantly outclass Emergency Man's connections, making her the…
  • Emergency Man's best finish is a second place (form: 2-3) — he has twice run without winning, suggesting he may be a consistent place-getter rather than a winner, a concern in a field where fresher r…
  • Jockey Mr B T Stone has only a 9% strike rate from just 82 rides — a limited sample at modest returns — which is a specific execution risk against rivals piloted by Mr H C Swan (19%) and Mr J L Glees…
Shortlist Emergency Man, El Paraiso, Ellen Imlach, Sierra's Dream
Each-way: Ellen Imlach Danger: El Paraiso

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m7f165y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
15 Confirmed runners
Navan Track and setting