← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Molton Brown Luxury Fragrance Fillies' Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Persian Spirit
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Persian Spirit (SR 78, 10/3) combines the joint-highest SR in the field with a 2lb drop below her last winning mark, a market that has shortened 8% since opening, and a trainer/jockey combination both operating at 18% strike rate — among the strongest stats in this line-up. Billy Loughnane at 18% from nearly 3,000 career rides is a significant booking upgrade and signals yard confidence. The GoingFit is unknown rather than negative, and at 9-13 she carries 7lb less than Jannas Journey who has a DistFit:- flag against her at this 6f trip. A form line ending in a win followed by a near-miss 5th at Class 4 level suggests she is primed for a bold showing off a lenient mark. Each-way alternative: Jannas Journey. Main danger: Jannas Journey — Jannas Journey (SR 77, 10/3) has steamed in 13% in the market, holds a proven course record (W1P3 at Hamilton), and her GoingFit:+ on today's soft ground is a concrete edge — though the DistFit:- at 6f and +3lb above last winning mark are real concerns, the market money here cannot be dismissed.
Full result
Winner: Annie Edson Taylor (GB) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Annie Edson Taylor Fox #4 7/1
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2
Lily Pearl 18/1
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3
Call Me Betty 12/1
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4
Thunderstorm Katie Fox #3 3/1
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5
Pickersgill 50/1
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6
Persian Spirit Fox #1 4/1
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7
Mae Amor 10/1
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8
Iris Dancer 12/1
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—
Jannas Journey Fox #2 5/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Persian Spirit 10/3 6TH
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2
Jannas Journey 10/3
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3
Thunderstorm Katie 10/3 🏁 4TH
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4
Annie Edson Taylor 6/1 SP 7/2 🏆 WON