Jannas Journey shaped with promise when third two starts back, and her experience over today's distance and going counts in her favour, though connections will need to manage the quick turnaround having run just yesterday.
Form last 6814936
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR82RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Persian Spirit is the top-rated runner in this field and, fresh from a win five starts back, she has experience of today's trip and going conditions to call upon. The risk is that she has been held to fifths in two of her last three outings, so she must raise her game off 139 lb.
Form last 61457-5
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
78SR87RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Mae Amor has run over today's trip and going and has been knocking on the door, finishing third two starts back, and her rating of 85 puts her among the chief dangers; the risk is that she remains yet to win in recent starts.
Form last 6096434
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR85RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Won three starts back but has finished seventh and ninth in her two subsequent outings, and at 135 lb from stall nine she faces a stiff task; has run over today's trip and going before, and a rating of 77 keeps her in contention if she can rediscover that earlier form.
Form last 66-0197
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
61SR77RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Thunderstorm Katie won three starts back and was second last time out, showing she retains ability, though the sixth two starts back and a quick three-day turnaround may give pause; she has run over today's trip and going, and carries 129 lb from stall one.
Form last 6629162
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
79SR73RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Returned a winner last time out, which counts in her favour, but ranked seventh of nine on our figures and the overall profile makes her hard to fancy at this level despite the distance and going experience she brings.
Form last 6461691
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
73SR70RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Pickersgill has been well beaten in her last two starts and is winless in her last six, with only a third three starts back offering any encouragement; experience over today's trip and going and a quick turnaround count in her favour, but she ranks eighth of nine on our figures.
Form last 6728398
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
42SR70RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Ranked bottom of nine on our figures, Iris Dancer has finished ninth, ninth and unplaced in three of her last four starts, making her hard to fancy despite a win in recent starts and the benefit of experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 6130959
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR69RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Jannas Journey owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/2Jim GoldieRhys Elliott(5)
74%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Persian Spirit
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Edward Bethell✓ Value Signal
Pickersgill
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · Iain Jardine◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Persian Spirit (SR 78, 10/3) combines the joint-highest SR in the field with a 2lb drop below her last winning mark, a market that has shortened 8% since opening, and a trainer/jockey combination both operating at 18% strike rate — among the strongest stats in this line-up. Billy Loughnane at 18% from nearly 3,000 career rides is a significant booking upgrade and signals yard confidence. The GoingFit is unknown rather than negative, and at 9-13 she carries 7lb less than Jannas Journey who has a DistFit:- flag against her at this 6f trip. A form line ending in a win followed by a near-miss 5th at Class 4 level suggests she is primed for a bold showing off a lenient mark.
Each-way alternative: Jannas Journey.
Main danger: Jannas Journey — Jannas Journey (SR 77, 10/3) has steamed in 13% in the market, holds a proven course record (W1P3 at Hamilton), and her GoingFit:+ on today's soft ground is a concrete edge — though the DistFit:- at 6f and +3lb above last winning mark are real concerns, the market money here cannot be dismissed.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Thunderstorm Katie (SR:79) rates 1lb higher on Speed Ratings, has 3-day freshness, is shortening faster at 14% market support vs Persian Spirit's 8%, and carries 10lb less — she is the stronger marke…
Persian Spirit's form reads 1457-5: the sequence shows a win followed by a 5th, with a seasonal break in between — no course form listed, while rivals Jannas Journey (W1P3), Thunderstorm Katie (W1P4)…
GoingFit is unknown for Persian Spirit, not confirmed positive — at Hamilton's stiff 6f, an untested going preference is a concrete disadvantage against Thunderstorm Katie and Annie Edson Taylor who…
The mark has only moved -2 despite a near-miss 5th last time; the handicapper has barely conceded, suggesting he does not view that run as unlucky, limiting the leniency argument the primary analyst…
ShortlistPersian Spirit, Jannas Journey, Thunderstorm Katie, Annie Edson Taylor