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16:30 Hamilton Sun 20 Sep 2026 1m1f35y Class 5 Soft 9 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Empirestateofmind silks

Empirestateofmind

SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 32%

🥈 2ND

Mr Fox says

Empirestateofmind (SR:76, 10/3) is the highest-rated horse in the field aside from Motawaared, but crucially carries just 9-13 versus Motawaared's 9-5 — a weight-adjusted edge that matters on soft ground at Hamilton. The GoingFit:+ confirms proven ability in soft conditions, and the MarkMv:-3 means he's running off a mark below his last win, a significant structural advantage in a Class 5 handicap. The recent form 995001 shows a sharp return to winning ways last time out, and Jason Hart (14% career strike rate, 2661 runners — a high-volume, proven operator) is the strongest jockey booking in the race. Motawaared is the market leader but carries DistFit:- at this trip and GoingFit:? — two meaningful unknowns that undermine his case as favourite. Each-way alternative: Tee Aitch Aye. Main danger: Tee Aitch Aye — Tee Aitch Aye (SR:73, 9/2) has steamed in 9% in the market, boasts a Course:W2P2 record at Hamilton — the strongest course form in the field — and a GoingFit:+ confirming soft-ground effectiveness, with the recent form 076321 showing a progressive last three runs.

Verify· #18848

Full result

Winner: Bradbury (IRE) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Bradbury silks Bradbury Edward Bethell · Billy Loughnane 12/1
  2. 2 Empirestateofmind silks Empirestateofmind Fox #1 John & Sean Quinn · Jason Hart 5/2
  3. 3 Draupnir silks Draupnir Michael & David Easterby · Joanna Mason 13/2
  4. 4 Tee Aitch Aye silks Tee Aitch Aye Fox #2 Iain Jardine · Andrew Mullen 4/1
  5. 5 Motawaared silks Motawaared Fox #3 Jim Goldie · Paul Mulrennan 5/2
  6. 6 Port Darwin silks Port Darwin Charlie Johnston · Rowan Scott 14/1
  7. 7 Ibn Altheeb silks Ibn Altheeb Iain Jardine · Sam James 40/1
  8. 8 Sogniamo silks Sogniamo David O'Meara · Conor Whiteley(5) 50/1
  9. 9 Epidavros silks Epidavros Katie Scott · Connor Beasley 11/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Empirestateofmind silks Empirestateofmind 10/3 🥈 2ND
  2. 2 Tee Aitch Aye silks Tee Aitch Aye 9/2 🏁 4TH
  3. 3 Motawaared silks Motawaared 5/2 5TH