Hamilton 16:30 RESULTED
Class 5 20 Sep 2026

Last Sunday Every Race Live On Racing Tv Handicap Stakes

Every Race Live On Racing Tv Handicap Stakes · 1m1f35y

Official Result

Every Race Live On Racing Tv Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Bradbury (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Edward Bethell
    12/1
  2. 85/40
  3. 8/1
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Hamilton

14:00–17:00 · 7 races

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14:08–17:08 · 7 races

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14:18–17:18 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day, 12 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Draupnir silks
Draupnir
Age 4 · 10-0
537052
69
65
71
4
10-0
13/2 FCST 5/1
Draupnir arrives here on a retrieval mission after a second last time out, and has run over today's trip and going, making him an obvious threat from stall 2; the risk is that he remains winless in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Tee Aitch Aye silks
Tee Aitch Aye
Age 5 · 9-12
076321
67
73
68
5
9-12
4/1 7/2 4/1
Tee Aitch Aye has been in fine recent form, winning last time out and finishing second two starts back, though a sixth and seventh before that temper expectations; he has run over today's trip and going, returns after 18 days, and carries 138 lb from stall one.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Epidavros silks
Epidavros
Age 5 · 9-9
443548
64
60
71
5
9-9
11/1 9/2 11/1
Epidavros shaped with promise when fourth two starts back and third four starts back, and our rating of 71 marks her out as a leading danger here carrying 135 lb from stall 4; the concern is she remains yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Empirestateofmind silks
Empirestateofmind
Age 8 · 9-13
995001
64
76
84
8
9-13
5/2 5/2 32/17
Won last time out and has run over today's trip and going before, Empirestateofmind heads into this race just two days on from that victory carrying 139 lb from stall five, with our rating of 84 marking him out as the one to beat despite the quick turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Motawaared silks
Motawaared
Age 4 · 9-5
654222
60
79
71
4
9-5
5/2
Motawaared has been knocking hard on the door, finishing second in three consecutive starts, and has experience over today's trip and conditions — his rating of 71 suggests more ability than his official mark of 60 gives him credit for, though the concern is whether he can finally convert that consistency after running just two days ago.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Sogniamo silks
Sogniamo
Age 3 · 9-4
-17568
64
41
61
3
9-4
50/1 20/1 50/1
Sogniamo has finished no better than fifth in her last four starts, and our rating ranks her eighth of nine here, making her very difficult to recommend despite the distance experience and a return to action after 29 days.
AI verdict

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

7
Ibn Altheeb silks
Ibn Altheeb
Age 3 · 9-3
603400
63
41
68
3
9-3
40/1 FCST 25/1
Winless in his last six starts, Ibn Altheeb does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and 18 days between runs suggests he returns fresh; however, a flat recent sequence including three unplaced efforts makes him difficult to fancy from a rating of 63.
AI verdict

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

8
Bradbury silks
Bradbury
Age 3 · 9-1
211636
61
65
63
3
9-1
12/1 6/1 17/2
Bradbury has finished sixth and third in his last two starts, and his rating of 63 ranks him seventh of nine, making him hard to fancy here despite distance and going experience and two wins appearing four and five starts back in recent form.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Port Darwin silks
Port Darwin
Age 3 · 9-1
155148
61
61
60
3
9-1
14/1 13/2 10/1
Port Darwin has shaped as the outsider on these figures, ranked bottom of the field, and back-to-back fifth and eighth-place finishes in his most recent starts make him hard to fancy despite a win three starts back; he has run over today's trip and returns on a sharp 11-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Draupnir 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.00 5/1 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.00 6/1 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 Bet365
2 Tee Aitch Aye 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 Bet365
3 Epidavros 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 12/1 open 6.00 12/1 open 6.00 12/1 open 5.50 11/1 open 6.00 12/1 Paddy Power
4 Empirestateofmind 5/2 2/1 open 4.00 15/8 open 4.00 15/8 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.00 2/1 open 4.00 5/2 Bet365
5 Motawaared 5/2 open 4.50 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 open 3.50 5/2 open 3.75 5/2 11/4 Paddy Power
6 Sogniamo 50/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 21.00 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 Bet365
7 Ibn Altheeb 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 34.00 25/1 25/1 28/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 40/1 Bet365
8 Bradbury 12/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 7.00 17/2 open 10.00 17/2 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 9.50 12/1 Bet365
9 Port Darwin 14/1 12/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 8.00 14/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Motawaared

Speculative

Motawaared owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 Jim Goldie Paul Mulrennan
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Tee Aitch Aye

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Iain Jardine
✓ Value Signal

Ibn Altheeb

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Iain Jardine
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Motawaared
53.2 5/2
2 2. Tee Aitch Aye
50.8 4/1
3 4. Empirestateofmind
50.4 5/2
4 1. Draupnir
48.8 13/2
5 8. Bradbury
44.5 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Empirestateofmind
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 8 · 9-13
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 4 · 9-5
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 9-12
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 10-0
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 5 · 9-9
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-1
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 9-1
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Empirestateofmind
Confidence: Speculative

Empirestateofmind (SR:76, 10/3) is the highest-rated horse in the field aside from Motawaared, but crucially carries just 9-13 versus Motawaared's 9-5 — a weight-adjusted edge that matters on soft ground at Hamilton. The GoingFit:+ confirms proven ability in soft conditions, and the MarkMv:-3 means he's running off a mark below his last win, a significant structural advantage in a Class 5 handicap. The recent form 995001 shows a sharp return to winning ways last time out, and Jason Hart (14% career strike rate, 2661 runners — a high-volume, proven operator) is the strongest jockey booking in the race. Motawaared is the market leader but carries DistFit:- at this trip and GoingFit:? — two meaningful unknowns that undermine his case as favourite. Each-way alternative: Tee Aitch Aye. Main danger: Tee Aitch Aye — Tee Aitch Aye (SR:73, 9/2) has steamed in 9% in the market, boasts a Course:W2P2 record at Hamilton — the strongest course form in the field — and a GoingFit:+ confirming soft-ground effectiveness, with the recent form 076321 showing a progressive last three runs.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Days:2 — racing just 48 hours after last outing is an extreme turnaround for an 8-year-old; recovery and freshness at this age are genuine concerns.
  • Course:W0P2 at Hamilton — two placed efforts but no win here, suggesting the track itself may not fully suit despite the soft-ground credentials.
  • At age 8 in a Class 5 handicap, the handicapper has now clocked his winning return; the MarkMv:-3 edge could quickly be erased if he runs to form today.
  • Tee Aitch Aye (Course:W2P2, MarkMv:+7 yet still on same trajectory, Mkt:in9%) has a strong Hamilton record and significant course experience that Empirestateofmind's course form cannot match.
Shortlist Empirestateofmind, Tee Aitch Aye, Motawaared
Each-way: Tee Aitch Aye Danger: Tee Aitch Aye

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m1f35y Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Hamilton Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade