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Bob George Powered By Mansell Mctaggart Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Shane's Spirit
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/6 SP 4/5F Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Shane's Spirit leads the field on SR 105 — a clear 12-point gap over the next-best Missy Moises (SR 93) and 16 points over Kap In Hand (SR 89). At 4/6 the market has firmly endorsed this runner, and trainer Mickey Bowen (16% strike rate, 489 runners) alongside jockey James Bowen (20% strike rate, 1,187 runners) represent a polished, in-form combination. In a six-runner Class 5 bumper where all runners lack distance and going data (DistFit:? / GoingFit:? throughout), SR differential is the most reliable differentiator, and here it points unambiguously to Shane's Spirit. The only caveat is the form string '5-' which shows a fifth and a blank season break — not a horse in blazing form — hence Medium rather than High confidence. Each-way alternative: Missy Moises. Main danger: Missy Moises — Missy Moises (SR 93, 4/1) carries the lightest weight in the field at 10-7 — a meaningful 7lb pull on Shane's Spirit in a bumper on good ground — and trainer Nick Scholfield (16% strike rate) alongside jockey Harry Reed (15%) is a capable combination; if Shane's Spirit's form break leaves it underdone, Missy Moises is best placed to capitalise.
Full result
Winner: Shane's Spirit (IRE) at SP 4/5F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Shane's Spirit Fox #1 8/11
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2
Kap In Hand Fox #3 9/2
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3
Company Charge 7/1
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4
Missy Moises Fox #2 5/1
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5
Merci Vieil Ami 50/1
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6
On The Fly 33/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3