Company Charge comes here on the back of an unseating last time out but was fifth two starts back, and at 156 lb, the 16-day turnaround suggests connections are keen to get him back on track.
Form last 65U
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
84SR97RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Unexposed and open to improvement, Merci Vieil Ami is yet to win in his last four starts, but returns after 48 days off carrying 156 lb and remains one to keep an eye on as his profile develops.
Form last 6UP-80
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
67SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Unexposed on debut, Kap In Hand arrives as a largely unknown quantity carrying 154 lb, and with no form to weigh up he remains open to any amount of improvement on this first racecourse appearance.
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
89SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
On The Fly heads into this fresh enough after a 26-day break, and a rating of 90 in a six-runner field marks him out as a genuine threat, though his winless run in recent starts is the main concern.
Form last 696
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
64SR90RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Shane's Spirit holds the top rating in this field and has experience of today's going, making him a clear threat despite being winless in recent starts; the chief concern is that he hasn't been seen for 149 days.
Form last 65-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
105SR103RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in recent starts, Missy Moises nonetheless appeals as a strong danger on going experience and a rating of 92 that ranks her third in a six-runner field, though the 93-day absence is the key concern.
Form last 65
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
93SR92RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Shane's Spirit owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (58) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
8/11Mickey BowenJames Bowen
78%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Missy Moises
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · Nick Scholfield✓ Value Signal
On The Fly
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Jim & Suzi Best◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Shane's Spirit leads the field on SR 105 — a clear 12-point gap over the next-best Missy Moises (SR 93) and 16 points over Kap In Hand (SR 89). At 4/6 the market has firmly endorsed this runner, and trainer Mickey Bowen (16% strike rate, 489 runners) alongside jockey James Bowen (20% strike rate, 1,187 runners) represent a polished, in-form combination. In a six-runner Class 5 bumper where all runners lack distance and going data (DistFit:? / GoingFit:? throughout), SR differential is the most reliable differentiator, and here it points unambiguously to Shane's Spirit. The only caveat is the form string '5-' which shows a fifth and a blank season break — not a horse in blazing form — hence Medium rather than High confidence.
Each-way alternative: Missy Moises.
Main danger: Missy Moises — Missy Moises (SR 93, 4/1) carries the lightest weight in the field at 10-7 — a meaningful 7lb pull on Shane's Spirit in a bumper on good ground — and trainer Nick Scholfield (16% strike rate) alongside jockey Harry Reed (15%) is a capable combination; if Shane's Spirit's form break leaves it underdone, Missy Moises is best placed to capitalise.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form string '5-' indicates a season break following a fifth-place finish — returning from a layoff with no confirmed fitness markers in a bumper where freshness and racecourse sharpness are critical.
At 4/6 in a six-runner Class 5 bumper, Shane's Spirit is priced to near-certainty yet carries no distance or going fitness data, meaning the SR advantage could be theoretical rather than race-applica…
Missy Moises (SR 93, 4/1) is only 12 points behind on SR and has a more recent run 93 days ago vs Shane's Spirit's blank '–', giving her a potential fitness edge on comeback day.
No market support trend data shown (no 'out%' drift flag for Shane's Spirit) while Company Charge is noted drifting out 19% — absence of a steaming move at 4/6 suggests money is not aggressively back…
ShortlistShane's Spirit, Missy Moises, Kap In Hand