← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Kinisla Cheestrings Irish EBF Mares Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Tumbling In
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/8 SP 6/5F Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Tumbling In (SR:115, 11/8) arrives on the back of a recent win (Form:43-331, rightmost digit = 1) and has attracted massive market confidence — a 39% inward move to 11/8 favourite is the single loudest signal in this five-runner field. Mark Walsh (22% strike rate, 737 career runners) is a top-tier booking that reinforces yard intent. The 4lb weight advantage over Le Nez Creux (11-5 vs 10-10) is meaningful at 2m4f on good ground, and Course:W0P1 shows prior Listowel experience. While DistFit:? and GoingFit:? flag limited distance/going data, the convergence of market money, a winning last run, elite jockey, and light weight makes this the standout selection. Each-way alternative: Le Nez Creux. Main danger: Le Nez Creux — Le Nez Creux (SR:115, 11/4) shares the joint-highest SR with Tumbling In and carries top-weight 11-5 suggesting the assessor respects its ability, and while drifting 11% it remains a live threat through Gavin Cromwell's 12% stable strike rate and Keith Donoghue's reliable record.
Full result
Winner: Tumbling In (IRE) at SP 6/5F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Tumbling In Fox #1 13/8
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2
Le Nez Creux Fox #2 3/1
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3
Easter Bonnet Fox #3 11/2
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4
Sea Coral 12/1
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—
Majestic Force 3/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Tumbling In 11/8 SP 6/5F 🏆 WON
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2
Le Nez Creux 11/4 🥈 2ND
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3
Easter Bonnet 6/1 🥉 3RD