Listowel 14:48 RESULTED
20 Sep 2026

Last Sunday Kinisla Cheestrings Irish EBF Mares Hurdle

Kinisla Cheestrings Irish EBF Mares Hurdle · 2m4f0y

Official Result

Kinisla Cheestrings Irish EBF Mares Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Tumbling In (IRE) Darragh O'Keeffe · E McNamara
    6/5F
  2. 11/4
  3. 11/4
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Le Nez Creux silks
Le Nez Creux
Age 5 · 11-5
3152-5
115
129
5
11-5
3/1 9/4 11/4
Le Nez Creux shaped well two starts back when second, and her win four starts back underlines the class that earns her top rating here; the trainer's current lean spell is the one note of caution, but she handles today's going and remains the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Majestic Force silks
Majestic Force
Age 8 · 11-1
52615/
123
118
123
8
11-1
3/1 7/4 3/1
Majestic Force landed a win two starts back and has experience of today's distance and going, giving her a solid platform to threaten here; the critical question is whether she can reproduce that level after a 505-day absence.
AI verdict

SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Easter Bonnet silks
Easter Bonnet
Age 5 · 10-10
P-0414
117
108
108
5
10-10
11/2 7/2 11/2
Easter Bonnet arrives on the back of a win two starts back and faces today's conditions with going experience to call on, but her weight of 150 lb is the significant burden she must overcome to confirm herself a genuine threat here.
AI verdict

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Tumbling In silks
Tumbling In
Age 5 · 10-10
43-331
110
115
104
5
10-10
13/8 5/2 5/4
Tumbling In arrives on the back of a win last time out and has placed in three of her four starts prior to that, showing admirable consistency, with experience over today's trip and going another positive; the main risk is the 47-day absence.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Sea Coral silks
Sea Coral
Age 4 · 10-1
/-
103
4
10-1
12/1 9/1 10/1
Unexposed and open to plenty of improvement on debut, Sea Coral steps into the unknown here carrying 141 lb, but she arrives fresh and her connections will be hopeful she can make an immediate impact.
AI verdict

SR 103 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Le Nez Creux 3/1 open 3.50 11/4 open 3.25 3/1 open 3.25 3/1 open 3.25 3/1 open 3.25 3/1 open 3.25 3/1 Bet365
2 Majestic Force 3/1 open 3.00 10/3 open 2.75 10/3 open 2.88 10/3 open 2.88 7/2 open 2.88 7/2 open 2.75 7/2 William Hill
3 Easter Bonnet 11/2 open 4.50 6/1 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 11/2 6/1 Paddy Power
4 Tumbling In 13/8 open 5.00 11/8 open 3.50 6/4 open 3.50 6/4 open 3.50 11/8 open 3.50 5/4 open 3.50 13/8 Bet365
5 Sea Coral 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 11/1 12/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Tumbling In

Live signal

Tumbling In owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (64) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/8 E McNamara Mark Walsh
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Majestic Force

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

3/1 · Henry de Bromhead
✓ Value Signal

Sea Coral

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

12/1 · Mrs J. Harrington
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
64 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +24.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Tumbling In
64.0 13/8
2 2. Majestic Force
62.0 3/1
3 3. Easter Bonnet
60.5 11/2
4 1. Le Nez Creux
60.1 3/1
5 5. Sea Coral
52.5 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Tumbling In
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

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Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 5 · 10-10
13/8
★★★★☆ SR 115 🐾

Favourable weight of 10-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 5 · 11-5
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 115 🐾

SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 8 · 11-1
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 118 🐾

SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 5 · 10-10
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 108 🐾

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 4 · 10-1
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 103 🐾

SR 103 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Tumbling In
Confidence: Speculative

Tumbling In (SR:115, 11/8) arrives on the back of a recent win (Form:43-331, rightmost digit = 1) and has attracted massive market confidence — a 39% inward move to 11/8 favourite is the single loudest signal in this five-runner field. Mark Walsh (22% strike rate, 737 career runners) is a top-tier booking that reinforces yard intent. The 4lb weight advantage over Le Nez Creux (11-5 vs 10-10) is meaningful at 2m4f on good ground, and Course:W0P1 shows prior Listowel experience. While DistFit:? and GoingFit:? flag limited distance/going data, the convergence of market money, a winning last run, elite jockey, and light weight makes this the standout selection. Each-way alternative: Le Nez Creux. Main danger: Le Nez Creux — Le Nez Creux (SR:115, 11/4) shares the joint-highest SR with Tumbling In and carries top-weight 11-5 suggesting the assessor respects its ability, and while drifting 11% it remains a live threat through Gavin Cromwell's 12% stable strike rate and Keith Donoghue's reliable record.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Trainer E McNamara hits at only 10% (500 runners) — well below the field's yard averages; Cromwell, de Bromhead and Mullins all carry higher strike rates into this race.
  • Form:43-331 shows a sequence of thirds before the recent win; the penultimate figures suggest this horse needed time to find form and the level of that winning race is unproven against today's rivals.
  • GoingFit:? and DistFit:? are both unknown — at 2m4f on good ground at Listowel, Tumbling In is essentially an unknown quantity at the trip and conditions, a material blind spot at odds-on.
  • Course:W0P1 means one course run with no win; Le Nez Creux and Easter Bonnet both carry HG:t flags suggesting proven handling of similar conditions, giving them a concrete edge Tumbling In lacks.
Shortlist Tumbling In, Le Nez Creux, Easter Bonnet
Each-way: Le Nez Creux Danger: Le Nez Creux

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m4f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Listowel Track and setting