← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Fireworks Festival 7th November 2026 - Book Now Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Home Hero
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Home Hero (SR:85, 5/1) is one of the joint-highest rated horses in the field and has been backed aggressively — a 50% market move inward is the single most emphatic market signal in the race. The visor is first-time headgear, which connections clearly feel will unlock improvement, and the trainer-jockey combination of Hugo Palmer and Cieren Fallon (18% career strike rate, 1,836 runners — the strongest jockey stat in the race) is formidable. Running off a mark only 5lb higher than last win, carrying 9-9 which is comfortably below the top-weights, and with moderate going fitness already confirmed, this horse sits at the intersection of SR quality, weight relief, elite jockey booking, and the most striking market support on the card. Each-way alternative: Bearin Up. Main danger: Bearin Up — Bearin Up (SR:85, 4/1) matches Home Hero on SR, carries less weight at 9-7, has a confirmed positive distance record, and has been backed 22% inward — a horse that also has strong market confidence and could easily be the one the layers have to pay out on.
Full result
Winner: Island Bear (IRE) at SP 6/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Island Bear 8/1
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2
Tamzan 10/1
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3
Dovey Moon 11/1
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4
Breakdancer 10/1
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5
Bearin Up Fox #2 10/3
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6
Magnatura 8/1
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7
Home Hero Fox #1 11/2
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8
Trio Fox #4 9/1
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9
Tortured Soul 50/1
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10
Glen Nevis 10/1
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11
Wesam Fox #3 6/1
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12
Burdett Estate 50/1
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—
Spy Kingdom 33/1
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—
Metallo 13/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Home Hero 5/1 7TH
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2
Bearin Up 4/1 5TH
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3
Wesam 5/1 11TH
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4
Trio 8/1 8TH