Fireworks Festival 7th November 2026 - Book Now Handicap Stakes · 1m0f53y
SR 70 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 60 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 83 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 66 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 52 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Breakdancer | 10/1 open 10.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Wesam | 6/1 open 8.50 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 9.50 | 15/2 open 9.50 | 7/1 open 9.00 | 15/2 open 5.50 | 15/2 Paddy Power |
| 3 Spy Kingdom | 33/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Metallo | 13/2 open 6.00 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 5.50 | 11/2 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Home Hero | 11/2 open 12.00 | 9/2 open 10.00 | 5/1 open 11.00 | 5/1 open 11.00 | 5/1 open 11.00 | 5/1 open 11.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Burdett Estate | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Trio | 9/1 open 7.50 | 17/2 | 9/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Bearin Up | 10/3 open 7.00 | 10/3 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 6.50 | 7/2 open 6.50 | 10/3 open 6.50 | 10/3 open 6.00 | 7/2 Coral |
| 9 Dovey Moon | 11/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 19.00 | 11/1 open 19.00 | 10/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 19.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Glen Nevis | 10/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Tortured Soul | 50/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Magnatura | 8/1 open 21.00 | 15/2 open 21.00 | 8/1 open 17.00 | 8/1 open 17.00 | 8/1 open 21.00 | 7/1 open 17.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Tamzan | 10/1 open 9.00 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Island Bear | 8/1 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 8/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Bearin Up owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 66 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Home Hero (SR:85, 5/1) is one of the joint-highest rated horses in the field and has been backed aggressively — a 50% market move inward is the single most emphatic market signal in the race. The visor is first-time headgear, which connections clearly feel will unlock improvement, and the trainer-jockey combination of Hugo Palmer and Cieren Fallon (18% career strike rate, 1,836 runners — the strongest jockey stat in the race) is formidable. Running off a mark only 5lb higher than last win, carrying 9-9 which is comfortably below the top-weights, and with moderate going fitness already confirmed, this horse sits at the intersection of SR quality, weight relief, elite jockey booking, and the most striking market support on the card. Each-way alternative: Bearin Up. Main danger: Bearin Up — Bearin Up (SR:85, 4/1) matches Home Hero on SR, carries less weight at 9-7, has a confirmed positive distance record, and has been backed 22% inward — a horse that also has strong market confidence and could easily be the one the layers have to pay out on.