← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Castlebridge Consignment Blenheim Stakes (Listed)
Mr Fox’s call
Livenka
MEDIUM Advised 7/4 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Livenka (SR 118, 7/4) is the standout on every meaningful metric. She leads the field on SR by 8 points over Marco Polo (SR 106), carries the lightest weight at 9-0 giving her a 5lb advantage over most rivals, and her Course:W1P1 record at Fairyhouse is a significant edge in a specialist track context. DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm she handles today's 6f trip and good ground emphatically, while ClassMv:= means no step into the unknown. Colin Keane (16%, 2315 rides) is the strongest jockey booking in the race, and her recent form sequence 33114 — finishing with a win — shows she is hitting peak form at exactly the right time. Each-way alternative: Big Negotiator. Main danger: Marco Polo — Marco Polo (SR 106, 15/8) is trained by Aidan O'Brien with a DistFit:+ and a sharp last-time-out win to his credit, and while an 18% market drift is a slight concern, O'Brien's 22% strike rate means this horse commands respect as the second-highest SR in the field.
Full result
Winner: Big Negotiator (GB) at SP 9/4. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Big Negotiator Fox #3 7/2
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2
Livenka Fox #1 11/10
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3
Nail House 7/1
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4
Lola de Valence 28/1
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5
Where Love Lives Fox #4 11/1
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6
Fighting Tears 11/1
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7
Golden Alibi 28/1
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8
Catuai 33/1
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9
The Scallionator 12/1
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10
Lars Soldier 33/1
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—
Marco Polo Fox #2 2/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Livenka 7/4 🥈 2ND
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2
Marco Polo 15/8
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3
Big Negotiator 4/1 SP 9/4 🏆 WON
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4
Where Love Lives 16/1 5TH