Fairyhouse 17:57 RESULTED
Class 1 21 Sep 2026

Yesterday Castlebridge Consignment Blenheim Stakes (Listed)

Castlebridge Consignment Blenheim Stakes (Listed) · 0m6f0y

Official Result

Castlebridge Consignment Blenheim Stakes (Listed)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Big Negotiator (GB) W. J. Lee · P. Twomey
    9/4
  2. Second Livenka (GB)
    1/1F
  3. 9/1
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 9 hours, 27 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Catuai silks
Catuai
Age 2 · 9-5
73
2
9-5
33/1 66/1 25/1
Unraced and therefore completely unexposed, Catuai makes his debut from stall seven carrying 131 lb, with everything still to learn but improvement guaranteed to come as experience mounts.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Lars Soldier silks
Lars Soldier
Age 2 · 9-5
342551
87
70
99
2
9-5
33/1 28/1 33/1
Winner last time out and comes here in good heart just 16 days on, with experience of today's trip and going in his favour; however, he has been largely inconsistent in recent starts — fifth on two occasions — and 131 lb is a stiff enough burden to overcome.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Marco Polo silks
Marco Polo
Age 2 · 9-5
281
106
101
2
9-5
2/1 5/4 32/17
Marco Polo arrives on the back of a win last time out and has run over today's trip and going, giving him valid credentials here; the main risk is whether he can reproduce that form under a burden of 131 lb from stall 10.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Nail House silks
Nail House
Age 2 · 9-5
136
98
85
85
2
9-5
7/1 12/1 6/1
Sixth on his latest start, Nail House is awkward to fancy on a rating of 85 ranked eighth of eleven, though a winner three starts back and experience over today's distance and going offer slim encouragement; the 30-day break leaves fitness an open question too.
AI verdict

SR 85 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
The Scallionator silks
The Scallionator
Age 2 · 9-5
210461
99
91
109
2
9-5
12/1 11/1 12/1
Sole draw is stall 11 carrying 131 lb, but The Scallionator arrives on the back of a win twelve days ago and has experience of today's distance and going, and his two wins in his last six starts show he can deliver when it matters — the weight he shoulders is the main concern.
AI verdict

SR 91 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Where Love Lives silks
Where Love Lives
Age 2 · 9-5
11045
98
93
108
2
9-5
11/1
Back-to-back wins three and four starts back give Where Love Lives a strong recent platform, and he returns on known distance and going conditions after a 23-day break carrying 131 lb from stall four. Fifth last time out leaves something to prove on latest form, though his overall profile makes him our pick.
AI verdict

SR 93 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Big Negotiator silks
Big Negotiator
Age 2 · 9-3
210410
101
110
107
2
9-3
7/2 9/2 10/3
Big Negotiator won two starts back and has run over today's trip and going, so conditions pose no concerns; at 129 lb from stall three, the weight burden is the factor to watch.
AI verdict

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Fighting Tears silks
Fighting Tears
Age 2 · 9-0
1
76
84
2
9-0
11/1 12/1 11/1
Fighting Tears won last time out, but our figures rank her ninth of eleven here, and a speed rating of 63 makes it hard to see her building on that success against stronger opposition; has run over today's trip and going, at least.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Golden Alibi silks
Golden Alibi
Age 2 · 9-0
75
2
9-0
28/1 40/1 25/1
Debut filly, wholly unexposed and open to any amount of improvement; carrying 126 lb from stall six, Golden Alibi arrives on a clean slate with everything still to prove and discover.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Livenka silks
Livenka
Age 2 · 9-0
33114
105
118
100
2
9-0
11/10 32/17 11/10
Twice a winner in her last five starts, with a win two starts back a positive, though she was fourth last time out and our rating edges just below the official mark — Livenka has run over today's trip and going, and 126 lb from stall one will be worth monitoring.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

11
Lola de Valence silks
Lola de Valence
Age 2 · 9-0
319
83
68
91
2
9-0
28/1 25/1 28/1
Lola de Valence flopped on her latest start after winning two runs back, and with her trainer yet to strike in 20 attempts over the past fortnight, confidence is hard to muster; experience over today's trip is about the best that can be said for her.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Catuai 33/1 open 67.00 25/1 open 81.00 25/1 open 81.00 25/1 open 81.00 28/1 open 81.00 25/1 open 67.00 33/1 Bet365
2 Lars Soldier 33/1 40/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 67.00 40/1 Paddy Power
3 Marco Polo 2/1 open 2.25 15/8 9/4 open 2.50 9/4 open 2.50 2/1 open 2.50 2/1 9/4 Coral
4 Nail House 7/1 open 15.00 13/2 open 13.00 13/2 open 13.00 13/2 open 13.00 6/1 open 13.00 13/2 open 13.00 7/1 Bet365
5 The Scallionator 12/1 12/1 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 Bet365
6 Where Love Lives 11/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 12/1 Paddy Power
7 Big Negotiator 7/2 open 6.00 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 open 6.00 10/3 open 6.00 10/3 open 6.00 10/3 open 6.00 7/2 Bet365
8 Fighting Tears 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 12/1 Paddy Power
9 Golden Alibi 28/1 open 41.00 35/1 open 67.00 25/1 open 51.00 25/1 open 51.00 28/1 open 51.00 25/1 open 51.00 35/1 Paddy Power
10 Livenka 11/10 open 3.25 11/10 open 3.00 11/10 open 2.88 11/10 open 2.88 11/10 open 2.88 11/10 open 2.88 11/10 Bet365
11 Lola de Valence 28/1 open 34.00 30/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 30/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Livenka

Live signal

Livenka owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (66) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/10 G. M. Lyons Colin Keane
76% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Marco Polo

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

2/1 · Aidan O'Brien
✓ Value Signal

Golden Alibi

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · M D O'Callaghan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
66 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +24.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
95 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 10. Livenka
63.7 11/10
2 3. Marco Polo
58.6 2/1
3 7. Big Negotiator
58.0 7/2
4 5. The Scallionator
49.8 12/1
5 6. Where Love Lives
49.6 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Livenka
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

10
Age 2 · 9-0
11/10
★★★★☆ SR 118 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 2 · 9-5
2/1
★★★★☆ SR 106 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
Age 2 · 9-3
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 110 🐾

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 2 · 9-5
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 2 · 9-5
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 93 🐾

SR 93 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 2 · 9-0
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 2 · 9-5
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Livenka
Confidence: Medium

Livenka (SR 118, 7/4) is the standout on every meaningful metric. She leads the field on SR by 8 points over Marco Polo (SR 106), carries the lightest weight at 9-0 giving her a 5lb advantage over most rivals, and her Course:W1P1 record at Fairyhouse is a significant edge in a specialist track context. DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm she handles today's 6f trip and good ground emphatically, while ClassMv:= means no step into the unknown. Colin Keane (16%, 2315 rides) is the strongest jockey booking in the race, and her recent form sequence 33114 — finishing with a win — shows she is hitting peak form at exactly the right time. Each-way alternative: Big Negotiator. Main danger: Marco Polo — Marco Polo (SR 106, 15/8) is trained by Aidan O'Brien with a DistFit:+ and a sharp last-time-out win to his credit, and while an 18% market drift is a slight concern, O'Brien's 22% strike rate means this horse commands respect as the second-highest SR in the field.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Marco Polo (SR 106, 15/8) drifted only 18% in the market versus Livenka's unrecorded drift, and Aidan O'Brien's 22% trainer strike rate with a quick 12-day turnaround makes him a live danger at short…
  • Big Negotiator (SR 110, 4/1) is drifting IN 20% with a +13 MarkMv and P. Twomey's 24% trainer strike rate — the sharpest market move in the field, suggesting significant stable confidence that could…
  • Livenka's form sequence 33114 includes back-to-back thirds before her recent win; with no market data (no Mkt field) she is an unknown quantity in terms of support, and 7/4 leaves little margin for e…
  • At 2yo over 6f on good ground, Livenka faces Big Negotiator and Marco Polo both carrying 5lb more (9-5 vs 9-0) — the weight advantage is real but in a field of 2yo sprinters the pace is likely to be…
Shortlist Livenka, Marco Polo, Big Negotiator, Where Love Lives
Each-way: Big Negotiator Danger: Marco Polo

🗺 The Course Class 1

0m6f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Fairyhouse Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade