Kevin's Bar, Listowel/Exchange Inn, Ballybunion Handicap

15:30 Listowel Mon 21 Sep 2026 1m4f0y Good 18 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Priorstown

SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 28%

🥈 2ND

Mr Fox says

Priorstown (SR 70, 11/4) holds the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Wie Wunderbar (SR 71) but carries 9-8 versus Wie Wunderbar's 9-12 — a meaningful 4lb weight advantage at 1m4f on good ground. The form string 60701 shows a last-time-out win which is the most important recent data point, and trainer J.P. Murtagh (11%, 1304 runners) is a consistently solid handler. Seamie Heffernan at 8% career strike rate is an experienced booking. Although the market has drifted 5% from the open, this is a modest move in an 18-runner handicap and is not alarming given the competitive nature of the field. The slight drift may reflect the step up in mark (+5) but the weight advantage over the co-top-rated rival is the decisive edge. Each-way alternative: Wie Wunderbar. Main danger: Wie Wunderbar — Wie Wunderbar holds the highest SR in the field at 71 and recorded a last-time-out win (form 3621) under trainer Mrs J. Harrington — despite the 20% drift and a +5 mark move, the raw ability edge and recent winning form make it the most dangerous rival if the market drift proves cosmetic rather than informational.

Verify· #18959

Full result

Winner: Canon Law (IRE) at SP 13/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.