Listowel 15:30 RESULTED
21 Sep 2026

Yesterday Kevin's Bar, Listowel/Exchange Inn, Ballybunion Handicap

Kevin's Bar, Listowel/Exchange Inn, Ballybunion Handicap · 1m4f0y

Official Result

Kevin's Bar, Listowel/Exchange Inn, Ballybunion Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Canon Law (IRE) Reese Holohan · Brendan W Duke
    13/2
  2. 11/4J
  3. 11/4J
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Settled
  • 18 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 9 hours, 27 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Mr Ballynonty silks
Mr Ballynonty
Age 3 · 10-0
3859
70
36
66
3
10-0
33/1 28/1 33/1
Winless in his last four starts and ranked 13 of 18 on our figures, Mr Ballynonty also arrives with a trainer in poor nick (2/40 over the past 14 days) and carrying 140 lb; experience over today's trip and going offers slim consolation.
AI verdict

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

2
Theorist silks
Theorist
Age 3 · 9-13
53-90
69
45
76
3
9-13
28/1 18/1 25/1
Theorist is our top-rated runner in this field and shaped with promise when third three starts back, giving him a platform to threaten off a mark of 69; the risk is a 121-day absence leaving fitness in doubt.
AI verdict

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

3
Jp's Express silks
Jp's Express
Age 3 · 9-12
031563
68
60
73
3
9-12
16/1 10/1 16/1
Finished third last time out after a patchy run of form, and has experience of today's going in his favour, but a mark of 68 and 138 lb on his back leave him with plenty to find against a competitive field.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Montevetro silks
Montevetro
Age 3 · 9-12
239
68
39
66
3
9-12
50/1 40/1 50/1
Winless in his last three starts and ranked 14th of 18 on our figures, Montevetro faces a stiff task under 138 lb, and a ninth last time out hardly reads encouragingly — though he has shown placed form in the recent past and handles today's going.
AI verdict

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

5
Wie Wunderbar silks
Wie Wunderbar
Age 3 · 9-12
3621
68
71
75
3
9-12
9/4 9/4 2/1
Wie Wunderbar arrives on the back of a win last time out and a second two starts back, giving her a strong recent profile, and she has run over today's distance and going before; the main risk is whether 138 lb blunts her momentum.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Rodeo Blues silks
Rodeo Blues
Age 3 · 9-11
461155
67
67
71
3
9-11
17/2 13/2 8/1
Rodeo Blues won two of her last six starts, including back-to-back victories three and four starts back, but consecutive fifth-place finishes since suggest she may be on a downward curve; she has experience over today's trip and going, though 137 lb is a stern ask.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Tanzanite Diamond silks
Tanzanite Diamond
Age 3 · 9-10
834508
66
40
74
3
9-10
25/1 30/1 20/1
Winless in his last six starts and drawn from a trainer without a winner in the past 14 days, Tanzanite Diamond at least has experience of today's distance and going and a speed rating that offers mild encouragement, though eighth last time out makes improvement essential.
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

8
Canon Law silks
Canon Law
Age 3 · 9-9
625162
65
63
64
3
9-9
9/1 8/1 15/2
Canon Law has won once in his last six starts, with a sixth two runs back sandwiched either side of more promising efforts, and our rating ranks him fifteenth of eighteen in this field; he has experience of today's trip and going, and 13 days since his last run suggests freshness, but the overall profile makes him hard to fancy at the weights.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Espritroyale silks
Espritroyale
Age 3 · 9-8
565229
64
59
68
3
9-8
16/1 8/1 16/1
Espritroyale has placed twice in her last six starts but that ninth last time out is a concern, and a trainer without a winner in 32 attempts over the past fortnight limits confidence; she has run over today's going before, yet winless in recent starts, she faces a stiff task from her mark of 64.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Good Man Jack silks
Good Man Jack
Age 3 · 9-8
09788
64
53
71
3
9-8
11/1 17/2 10/1
Winless in his last five starts, Good Man Jack arrives here 25 days fresh and has run over today's trip and going, yet a sequence of finishes dominated by seventh, eighth and ninth positions makes it hard to fancy him turning things around from a 134 lb burden.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Love Orchid silks
Love Orchid
Age 3 · 9-8
964023
64
63
75
3
9-8
10/1 17/2 9/1
Love Orchid has been knocking persistently on the door, finishing third last time out and a second two starts back, and our rating of 75 marks her out as a genuine threat in this field; the risk is that she remains yet to win despite her consistency.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Priorstown silks
Priorstown
Age 3 · 9-8
60701
64
70
74
3
9-8
11/4 3/1 11/4
Priorstown arrives on the back of a win last time out, returning after 21 days in good order, and he has experience of both today's trip and conditions. The trainer's current run of form is worth noting, but on his profile he merits respect.
AI verdict

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

13
Nottooshabby silks
Nottooshabby
Age 3 · 9-7
6766
63
29
54
3
9-7
18/1 25/1 14/1
Winless in his last four starts, with a string of sixth and seventh-place finishes, Nottooshabby is hard to fancy on these figures and carries 133 lb — only his experience on today's going offers any crumb of comfort.
AI verdict

SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

14
Parish Team silks
Parish Team
Age 3 · 9-7
88000
63
37
67
3
9-7
25/1 20/1 22/1
Winless in his last five starts, Parish Team at least steps out on a familiar distance and going combination, though carrying 133 lb makes life harder; a rating of 67 suggests a shade of untapped potential, but recent unplaced efforts leave him with plenty to prove.
AI verdict

SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

15
Henry Hudson silks
Henry Hudson
Age 3 · 9-6
7544
62
48
67
3
9-6
22/1 12/1 18/1
Henry Hudson has been consistent without threatening, posting three mid-pack finishes culminating in a fourth last time out, yet he arrives 75 days since that run and remains winless in recent starts; experience on today's going offers some encouragement, though 132 lb is a stern ask.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

16
Cascade Canyon silks
Cascade Canyon
Age 3 · 9-2
040920
58
44
68
3
9-2
SP FCST 20/1
Cascade Canyon is winless in his last six starts, though that second two runs back offers some encouragement, and he has run over today's trip and going; carrying 128 lb, he looks a solid midfield proposition rather than an obvious winner.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

17
Queen Of Astolat silks
Queen Of Astolat
Age 3 · 8-12
338607
54
34
63
3
8-12
SP FCST 25/1
Winless in her last six starts and ranked 16 of 18 on our figures, Queen Of Astolat faces a stiff task here; she ran over today's trip and going before and her two thirds came earlier in that sequence, but her last three outings have been deeply underwhelming and five days is a sharp turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

18
Premier Princess silks
Premier Princess
Age 3 · 8-8
50680
50
32
57
3
8-8
SP FCST 40/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked near the foot of our figures, Premier Princess is hard to fancy on current form — she was unplaced last time out and returns just a day later, though she has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Mr Ballynonty 33/1 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Paddy Power
2 Theorist 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 28/1 Bet365
3 Jp's Express 16/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 18/1 Paddy Power
4 Montevetro 50/1 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 50/1 Bet365
5 Wie Wunderbar 9/4 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 open 3.25 9/4 9/4 Bet365
6 Rodeo Blues 17/2 open 8.00 8/1 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 Bet365
7 Tanzanite Diamond 25/1 open 41.00 20/1 open 31.00 20/1 open 34.00 20/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 34.00 25/1 Bet365
8 Canon Law 9/1 open 11.00 15/2 open 9.00 8/1 open 9.50 8/1 open 9.50 8/1 open 9.50 8/1 open 9.50 9/1 Bet365
9 Espritroyale 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 Bet365
10 Good Man Jack 11/1 open 9.50 12/1 10/1 10/1 11/1 open 11.00 10/1 12/1 Paddy Power
11 Love Orchid 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 9/1 9/1 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.50 10/1 Bet365
12 Priorstown 11/4 open 4.00 3/1 open 4.33 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 open 4.00 3/1 10/3 Coral
13 Nottooshabby 18/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 26.00 14/1 open 26.00 14/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 29.00 18/1 Bet365
14 Parish Team 25/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 26.00 22/1 22/1 22/1 25/1 Bet365
15 Henry Hudson 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 22/1 Bet365
16 Cascade Canyon 20/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 William Hill
17 Queen Of Astolat 25/1 33/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 33/1 Paddy Power
18 Premier Princess 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Wie Wunderbar

Speculative

Wie Wunderbar owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Mrs J. Harrington Shane Foley
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Priorstown

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · J. P. Murtagh
✓ Value Signal

Theorist

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · D P Coakley
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Wie Wunderbar
51.7 9/4
2 12. Priorstown
49.1 11/4
3 6. Rodeo Blues
45.5 17/2
4 8. Canon Law
45.0 9/1
5 11. Love Orchid
44.2 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Priorstown
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 3 · 9-12
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Age 3 · 9-8
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-11
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-9
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 3 · 9-8
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-8
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-12
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 9-8
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 3 · 9-7
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 29 🐾

SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Priorstown
Confidence: Speculative

Priorstown (SR 70, 11/4) holds the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Wie Wunderbar (SR 71) but carries 9-8 versus Wie Wunderbar's 9-12 — a meaningful 4lb weight advantage at 1m4f on good ground. The form string 60701 shows a last-time-out win which is the most important recent data point, and trainer J.P. Murtagh (11%, 1304 runners) is a consistently solid handler. Seamie Heffernan at 8% career strike rate is an experienced booking. Although the market has drifted 5% from the open, this is a modest move in an 18-runner handicap and is not alarming given the competitive nature of the field. The slight drift may reflect the step up in mark (+5) but the weight advantage over the co-top-rated rival is the decisive edge. Each-way alternative: Wie Wunderbar. Main danger: Wie Wunderbar — Wie Wunderbar holds the highest SR in the field at 71 and recorded a last-time-out win (form 3621) under trainer Mrs J. Harrington — despite the 20% drift and a +5 mark move, the raw ability edge and recent winning form make it the most dangerous rival if the market drift proves cosmetic rather than informational.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Priorstown is raised +5 in the handicap mark following its last-time-out win, meaning the assessor has already reacted to that form — the weight advantage over Wie Wunderbar is partially offset by th…
  • Seamie Heffernan's 8% career strike rate is notably below the 11% of Shane Foley (Wie Wunderbar's jockey), a meaningful booking downgrade in a competitive 18-runner handicap where ride quality matter…
  • The 5% market drift on Priorstown while Wie Wunderbar (SR 71, higher raw rating) is available at 3/1 suggests bookmakers and informed money are leaning toward the co-top-rated rival despite the weigh…
  • The form string 60701 contains a '0' (last-to-finish run) just two runs ago, indicating Priorstown's consistency profile is fragile and the bounce risk off a winning effort at this new, higher mark i…
Shortlist Priorstown, Wie Wunderbar, Rodeo Blues, Jp's Express
Each-way: Wie Wunderbar Danger: Wie Wunderbar

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m4f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
18 Confirmed runners
Listowel Track and setting