Winless in his last four starts and ranked 13 of 18 on our figures, Mr Ballynonty also arrives with a trainer in poor nick (2/40 over the past 14 days) and carrying 140 lb; experience over today's trip and going offers slim consolation.
Form last 63859
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
36SR66RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Theorist is our top-rated runner in this field and shaped with promise when third three starts back, giving him a platform to threaten off a mark of 69; the risk is a 121-day absence leaving fitness in doubt.
Form last 653-90
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
45SR76RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Finished third last time out after a patchy run of form, and has experience of today's going in his favour, but a mark of 68 and 138 lb on his back leave him with plenty to find against a competitive field.
Form last 6031563
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR73RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last three starts and ranked 14th of 18 on our figures, Montevetro faces a stiff task under 138 lb, and a ninth last time out hardly reads encouragingly — though he has shown placed form in the recent past and handles today's going.
Form last 6239
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
39SR66RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Wie Wunderbar arrives on the back of a win last time out and a second two starts back, giving her a strong recent profile, and she has run over today's distance and going before; the main risk is whether 138 lb blunts her momentum.
Form last 63621
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
71SR75RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Rodeo Blues won two of her last six starts, including back-to-back victories three and four starts back, but consecutive fifth-place finishes since suggest she may be on a downward curve; she has experience over today's trip and going, though 137 lb is a stern ask.
Form last 6461155
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR71RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts and drawn from a trainer without a winner in the past 14 days, Tanzanite Diamond at least has experience of today's distance and going and a speed rating that offers mild encouragement, though eighth last time out makes improvement essential.
Form last 6834508
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
40SR74RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Canon Law has won once in his last six starts, with a sixth two runs back sandwiched either side of more promising efforts, and our rating ranks him fifteenth of eighteen in this field; he has experience of today's trip and going, and 13 days since his last run suggests freshness, but the overall profile makes him hard to fancy at the weights.
Form last 6625162
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR64RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Espritroyale has placed twice in her last six starts but that ninth last time out is a concern, and a trainer without a winner in 32 attempts over the past fortnight limits confidence; she has run over today's going before, yet winless in recent starts, she faces a stiff task from her mark of 64.
Form last 6565229
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR68RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, Good Man Jack arrives here 25 days fresh and has run over today's trip and going, yet a sequence of finishes dominated by seventh, eighth and ninth positions makes it hard to fancy him turning things around from a 134 lb burden.
Form last 609788
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR71RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Love Orchid has been knocking persistently on the door, finishing third last time out and a second two starts back, and our rating of 75 marks her out as a genuine threat in this field; the risk is that she remains yet to win despite her consistency.
Form last 6964023
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR75RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Priorstown arrives on the back of a win last time out, returning after 21 days in good order, and he has experience of both today's trip and conditions. The trainer's current run of form is worth noting, but on his profile he merits respect.
Form last 660701
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
70SR74RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last four starts, with a string of sixth and seventh-place finishes, Nottooshabby is hard to fancy on these figures and carries 133 lb — only his experience on today's going offers any crumb of comfort.
Form last 66766
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
29SR54RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Winless in his last five starts, Parish Team at least steps out on a familiar distance and going combination, though carrying 133 lb makes life harder; a rating of 67 suggests a shade of untapped potential, but recent unplaced efforts leave him with plenty to prove.
Form last 688000
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
37SR67RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Henry Hudson has been consistent without threatening, posting three mid-pack finishes culminating in a fourth last time out, yet he arrives 75 days since that run and remains winless in recent starts; experience on today's going offers some encouragement, though 132 lb is a stern ask.
Form last 67544
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR67RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Cascade Canyon is winless in his last six starts, though that second two runs back offers some encouragement, and he has run over today's trip and going; carrying 128 lb, he looks a solid midfield proposition rather than an obvious winner.
Form last 6040920
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
44SR68RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Winless in her last six starts and ranked 16 of 18 on our figures, Queen Of Astolat faces a stiff task here; she ran over today's trip and going before and her two thirds came earlier in that sequence, but her last three outings have been deeply underwhelming and five days is a sharp turnaround.
Form last 6338607
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
34SR63RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked near the foot of our figures, Premier Princess is hard to fancy on current form — she was unplaced last time out and returns just a day later, though she has run over today's trip and going before.
Form last 650680
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
32SR57RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Wie Wunderbar owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/4Mrs J. HarringtonShane Foley
71%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Priorstown
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/4 · J. P. Murtagh✓ Value Signal
Theorist
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · D P Coakley◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Priorstown (SR 70, 11/4) holds the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Wie Wunderbar (SR 71) but carries 9-8 versus Wie Wunderbar's 9-12 — a meaningful 4lb weight advantage at 1m4f on good ground. The form string 60701 shows a last-time-out win which is the most important recent data point, and trainer J.P. Murtagh (11%, 1304 runners) is a consistently solid handler. Seamie Heffernan at 8% career strike rate is an experienced booking. Although the market has drifted 5% from the open, this is a modest move in an 18-runner handicap and is not alarming given the competitive nature of the field. The slight drift may reflect the step up in mark (+5) but the weight advantage over the co-top-rated rival is the decisive edge.
Each-way alternative: Wie Wunderbar.
Main danger: Wie Wunderbar — Wie Wunderbar holds the highest SR in the field at 71 and recorded a last-time-out win (form 3621) under trainer Mrs J. Harrington — despite the 20% drift and a +5 mark move, the raw ability edge and recent winning form make it the most dangerous rival if the market drift proves cosmetic rather than informational.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Priorstown is raised +5 in the handicap mark following its last-time-out win, meaning the assessor has already reacted to that form — the weight advantage over Wie Wunderbar is partially offset by th…
Seamie Heffernan's 8% career strike rate is notably below the 11% of Shane Foley (Wie Wunderbar's jockey), a meaningful booking downgrade in a competitive 18-runner handicap where ride quality matter…
The 5% market drift on Priorstown while Wie Wunderbar (SR 71, higher raw rating) is available at 3/1 suggests bookmakers and informed money are leaning toward the co-top-rated rival despite the weigh…
The form string 60701 contains a '0' (last-to-finish run) just two runs ago, indicating Priorstown's consistency profile is fragile and the bounce risk off a winning effort at this new, higher mark i…
ShortlistPriorstown, Wie Wunderbar, Rodeo Blues, Jp's Express