attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Stakes (Div I)

16:55 Southwell (AW) Tue 22 Sep 2026 1m13y Class 4 Good 11 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Politely

SPECULATIVE Advised 11/2 Est. 28%

5TH

Mr Fox says

Politely (SR:93, 11/2) leads the field on SR and carries a favourable 9-9, giving her a meaningful weight advantage over top-weight Londoner (10-2) and Carron (10-1). Crucially, she is proven at today's trip (DistFit:+) and on Good going (GoingFit:+), and the market has steamed in 34% — the strongest inbound move in the field — signalling stable confidence after a 95-day break. Owen Burrows runs at a 21% strike rate and Callum Rodriguez at 20%, both the strongest connections figures among the contenders. The MarkMv:+4 is a mild negative but the weight-adjusted SR advantage and multi-signal alignment override it. Each-way alternative: Kalokalo. Main danger: Kalokalo — Kalokalo (SR:91, 4/1) has shortened 17% in the market, holds course form (W1P2), is proven at the trip (DistFit:+) and on Good going (GoingFit:+), and drops a class (↓1) — the only rival matching Politely's SR while carrying 6lb less than Londoner.

Verify· #19203

Full result

Winner: Shipbourne (GB) at SP 13/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

1 Shipbourne Ralph Beckett · Rossa Ryan 6/1
2 Kalokalo Fox #2 Charles Hills · Jason Watson 7/2
3 Talis Evolvere Fox #4 Richard Hannon · Sean Levey 6/1
4 Londoner Fox #3 Daniel & Claire Kubler · David Probert 9/2
5 Politely Fox #1 Owen Burrows · Callum Rodriguez 5/1
6 Illy's Roo Gemma Tutty · Conor Whiteley(5) 10/1
7 King of Fury Michael Dods · Sean Kirrane 50/1
8 Darn Hot Gallop James Tate · Hector Crouch 6/1
9 Firefall Edward Bethell · Oisin Orr 14/1
10 Clouds Hill Charlie Johnston · Daniel Muscutt 25/1
11 Carron Ruth Carr · Ray Dawson 33/1

Top 4 — how each finished

1 Politely 11/2 5TH
2 Kalokalo 4/1 🥈 2ND
3 Londoner 9/2 🏁 4TH
4 Talis Evolvere 11/2 🥉 3RD