Southwell (AW) 16:55 22 Sep 2026
Class 4 22 Sep 2026

Today attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Stakes (Div I)

attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Stakes (Div I) · 1m13y

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Beverley

13:30–17:35 · 8 races

Listowel

13:47–17:16 · 7 races

Warwick

13:55–16:48 · 6 races

Fontwell

14:12–17:07 · 6 races

Southwell (AW)

16:20–20:30 · 9 races

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Voting open
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 30 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Londoner silks
Londoner
Age 6 · 10-2
954242
87
95
6
10-2
7/2
Consistent front-runner type, Londoner has finished second twice in his last six starts and arrives here fresh enough at just 15 days between runs, with experience of both today's trip and going working in his favour; yet to land a race in recent starts, but his profile at 142 lb from stall eight merits respect.
Spotlight

Consistent front-runner type, Londoner has finished second twice in his last six starts and arrives here fresh enough at just 15 days between runs, with experience of both today's trip and going working in his favour; yet to land a race in recent starts, but his profile at 142 lb from stall eight merits respect.

2
Carron silks
Carron
Age 4 · 10-1
610820
86
95
4
10-1
22/1 FCST 20/1
Ran a fine second two starts back and has experience of both today's trip and going conditions, with our rating of 95 suggesting he holds solid claims from stall 2; the concern is a return to form after finishing unplaced last time out.
Spotlight

Ran a fine second two starts back and has experience of both today's trip and going conditions, with our rating of 95 suggesting he holds solid claims from stall 2; the concern is a return to form after finishing unplaced last time out.

3
Shipbourne silks
Shipbourne
Age 3 · 9-12
13-109
87
87
3
9-12
9/2
Shipbourne won three starts back and has run over today's trip, but back-to-back disappointing efforts since then give pause, and ranked seventh of eleven here he faces a stiff task off 138 lb from stall nine.
Spotlight

Shipbourne won three starts back and has run over today's trip, but back-to-back disappointing efforts since then give pause, and ranked seventh of eleven here he faces a stiff task off 138 lb from stall nine.

4
Clouds Hill silks
Clouds Hill
Age 4 · 9-11
139087
82
89
4
9-11
11/1
Clouds Hill showed a win and a third in recent starts but has since struggled, finishing unplaced or deep in the field in his last four, and 40 days off adds a fitness query; he has run over today's trip and going before and draws stall one carrying 137 lb.
Spotlight

Clouds Hill showed a win and a third in recent starts but has since struggled, finishing unplaced or deep in the field in his last four, and 40 days off adds a fitness query; he has run over today's trip and going before and draws stall one carrying 137 lb.

5
Firefall silks
Firefall
Age 3 · 9-11
1-9827
86
84
3
9-11
8/1
Firefall has shown only flashes of ability, with a win in his last five starts offset by a pair of defeats deep in the field, and his speed rating of 70 leaves him a significant underdog ranked tenth of eleven; the 22-day turnaround is acceptable and he has run over today's trip, but it is hard to fancy on these figures.
Spotlight

Firefall has shown only flashes of ability, with a win in his last five starts offset by a pair of defeats deep in the field, and his speed rating of 70 leaves him a significant underdog ranked tenth of eleven; the 22-day turnaround is acceptable and he has run over today's trip, but it is hard to fancy on these figures.

6
Politely silks
Politely
Age 3 · 9-9
5-1159
84
85
3
9-9
9/1
Politely showed her quality when winning back-to-back two and three starts back, but a ninth last time out clouds her credentials, and 95 days off adds a fitness query; she has run over today's trip and going, and 135 lb is no gimme.
Spotlight

Politely showed her quality when winning back-to-back two and three starts back, but a ninth last time out clouds her credentials, and 95 days off adds a fitness query; she has run over today's trip and going, and 135 lb is no gimme.

7
Darn Hot Gallop silks
Darn Hot Gallop
Age 3 · 9-8
-10065
83
91
3
9-8
7/1 FCST 5/1
Darn Hot Gallop showed she can win in recent starts, and she has run over today's trip and going before, with a rating of 91 lending further confidence; the worry is that her last four outings have yielded only a fifth and a sixth plus two unplaced efforts, suggesting she needs to recapture that earlier form.
Spotlight

Darn Hot Gallop showed she can win in recent starts, and she has run over today's trip and going before, with a rating of 91 lending further confidence; the worry is that her last four outings have yielded only a fifth and a sixth plus two unplaced efforts, suggesting she needs to recapture that earlier form.

8
Talis Evolvere silks
Talis Evolvere
Age 6 · 9-7
276650
78
96
6
9-7
6/1 FCST 11/2
Talis Evolvere is the top-ranked runner in the field and his speed rating underlines genuine ability, with experience over today's trip and going working in his favour at a fresh 22 days between runs; the concern is a winless recent spell and a trainer firing at just 3% lately.
Spotlight

Talis Evolvere is the top-ranked runner in the field and his speed rating underlines genuine ability, with experience over today's trip and going working in his favour at a fresh 22 days between runs; the concern is a winless recent spell and a trainer firing at just 3% lately.

9
King of Fury silks
King of Fury
Age 6 · 9-7
471190
78
85
6
9-7
28/1
King of Fury has gone unplaced in each of his last two starts and ranks ninth of eleven on our figures, making him hard to fancy despite back-to-back wins earlier in the sequence and experience over today's distance and going.
Spotlight

King of Fury has gone unplaced in each of his last two starts and ranks ninth of eleven on our figures, making him hard to fancy despite back-to-back wins earlier in the sequence and experience over today's distance and going.

10
Kalokalo silks
Kalokalo
Age 3 · 9-3
312130
78
83
3
9-3
5/1
Ranked last on our figures and unplaced last time out, Kalokalo is hard to fancy, though he does at least bring experience of today's trip and going, and a win three starts back offers some encouragement.
Spotlight

Ranked last on our figures and unplaced last time out, Kalokalo is hard to fancy, though he does at least bring experience of today's trip and going, and a win three starts back offers some encouragement.

11
Illy's Roo silks
Illy's Roo
Age 3 · 9-0
715499
75
87
3
9-0
14/1 FCST 12/1
Illy's Roo showed a flash of ability with a win five starts back, but back-to-back ninths in recent outings are hard to ignore; he has run over today's trip and going, and returns on a quick 11-day turnaround carrying 126 lb from stall 10.
Spotlight

Illy's Roo showed a flash of ability with a win five starts back, but back-to-back ninths in recent outings are hard to ignore; he has run over today's trip and going, and returns on a quick 11-day turnaround carrying 126 lb from stall 10.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Londoner 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 Bet365
2 Carron 22/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 22/1 Bet365
3 Shipbourne 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 Bet365
4 Clouds Hill 11/1 14/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 14/1 Paddy Power
5 Firefall 8/1 10/1 9/1 9/1 9/1 10/1 Paddy Power
6 Politely 9/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 Paddy Power
7 Darn Hot Gallop 7/1 5/1 6/1 6/1 6/1 7/1 Bet365
8 Talis Evolvere 6/1 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 6/1 Bet365
9 King of Fury 28/1 33/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 33/1 Paddy Power
10 Kalokalo 5/1 11/2 5/1 5/1 5/1 11/2 Paddy Power
11 Illy's Roo 14/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 14/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Londoner

Speculative

Londoner owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Daniel & Claire Kubler David Probert
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Shipbourne

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Ralph Beckett
✓ Value Signal

King of Fury

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Michael Dods
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Londoner
57.2 7/2
2 3. Shipbourne
54.2 9/2
3 8. Talis Evolvere
54.0 6/1
4 10. Kalokalo
51.4 5/1
5 5. Firefall
51.1 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 6 · 10-2
7/2
🐾

Consistent front-runner type, Londoner has finished second twice in his last six starts and arrives here fresh enough at just 15 days between runs, with experience of both today's trip and going working in his favour; yet to land a race in recent starts, but his profile at 142 lb from stall eight merits respect.

3
Age 3 · 9-12
9/2
🐾

Shipbourne won three starts back and has run over today's trip, but back-to-back disappointing efforts since then give pause, and ranked seventh of eleven here he faces a stiff task off 138 lb from stall nine.

10
Age 3 · 9-3
5/1
🐾

Ranked last on our figures and unplaced last time out, Kalokalo is hard to fancy, though he does at least bring experience of today's trip and going, and a win three starts back offers some encouragement.

8
Age 6 · 9-7
6/1
🐾

Talis Evolvere is the top-ranked runner in the field and his speed rating underlines genuine ability, with experience over today's trip and going working in his favour at a fresh 22 days between runs; the concern is a winless recent spell and a trainer firing at just 3% lately.

7
Age 3 · 9-8
7/1
🐾

Darn Hot Gallop showed she can win in recent starts, and she has run over today's trip and going before, with a rating of 91 lending further confidence; the worry is that her last four outings have yielded only a fifth and a sixth plus two unplaced efforts, suggesting she needs to recapture that earlier form.

5
Age 3 · 9-11
8/1
🐾

Firefall has shown only flashes of ability, with a win in his last five starts offset by a pair of defeats deep in the field, and his speed rating of 70 leaves him a significant underdog ranked tenth of eleven; the 22-day turnaround is acceptable and he has run over today's trip, but it is hard to fancy on these figures.

6
Age 3 · 9-9
9/1
🐾

Politely showed her quality when winning back-to-back two and three starts back, but a ninth last time out clouds her credentials, and 95 days off adds a fitness query; she has run over today's trip and going, and 135 lb is no gimme.

4
Age 4 · 9-11
11/1
🐾

Clouds Hill showed a win and a third in recent starts but has since struggled, finishing unplaced or deep in the field in his last four, and 40 days off adds a fitness query; he has run over today's trip and going before and draws stall one carrying 137 lb.

11
Age 3 · 9-0
14/1
🐾

Illy's Roo showed a flash of ability with a win five starts back, but back-to-back ninths in recent outings are hard to ignore; he has run over today's trip and going, and returns on a quick 11-day turnaround carrying 126 lb from stall 10.

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m13y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade