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Racing Tv Fillies' Handicap Stakes (London Mile Series Qualifier)
Mr Fox’s call
Freda
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Freda (SR 78, 7/2) is the clear class leader in this field — her SR of 78 sits well above the next-best Nothing But Love (SR 71) and a cluster of 3-year-olds on SR 63-66. She carries 10-0 but her mark has dropped 2lb since last win, meaning she's running off a more lenient rating. The 20% market move inward is the strongest steamer in the race and aligns with Pat Phelan's booking of a jockey who is winning at 14% — connections are clearly confident. Crucially, she has a Course:W1P1 record at Kempton, which is meaningful on an AW track with strong course-specialist tendencies, and her form string 236154 shows consistent competitiveness with a recent win. Each-way alternative: Protectrix. Main danger: Protectrix — Protectrix (SR 66, 9/4 favourite) has steamed in 24% in the market and carries the John Butler yard's #1 jockey booking in Billy Loughnane (18% career strike rate, the highest in the race), dropping a class on 9-8 — the market is pricing her as if she's well ahead of her handicap mark and she could easily outrun her SR if the form from her three-run novice campaign translates to this company.
Full result
Winner: Protectrix (IRE) at SP 11/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Protectrix Fox #3 2/1
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2
Bofa Beach 12/1
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3
Goomah Fox #4 7/1
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4
Nothing But Love Fox #2 8/1
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5
Freda Fox #1 7/2
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6
Sunshine And Roses 17/2
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7
Too Too Divine 15/2
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8
Case Study 50/1
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9
Liberate 22/1
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10
Mollie Foster 50/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Freda 7/2 5TH
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2
Nothing But Love 11/2 🏁 4TH
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3
Protectrix 9/4 SP 11/4F 🏆 WON
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4
Goomah 9/1 🥉 3RD