← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Federation Of Bloodstock Agents Nursery Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Lazurite
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Lazurite (SR:97, 3/1) is the joint-highest rated runner and is the Richard Hughes yard's #1 — William Buick booked over stablemate Harry Knows who gets Ryan Moore but is drifting 27% to 13/2. Lazurite has won on its most recent run (form 271, rightmost = 1), carries a light 9-4 — 5lb less than Harry Knows and 7lb less than Napa — and has market support (Mkt:in8%) confirming stable confidence despite stepping up in class. The DistFit:+ at this 5f trip and course place (Course:W0P1) on a track that rewards progressive juveniles adds further substance to the case. Each-way alternative: Black Velvet Boy. Main danger: Black Velvet Boy — Black Velvet Boy (SR:97, 9/2) matches Lazurite on SR, has been steaming in 23% to 9/2 with Oisin Murphy aboard, and carries a DistFit:+ at 5f — the recent 1-1-2 sequence in his form (73112, rightmost = 2) shows genuine progressive form at this level.
Full result
Winner: Harry Knows (IRE) at SP 13/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Harry Knows Fox #4 6/1
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2
Black Velvet Boy Fox #2 9/2
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3
Lazurite Fox #1 10/3
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4
Glamorize 11/1
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5
Not My Type 11/1
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6
Napa 25/1
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7
Envision 11/1
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8
Jaijai 18/1
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9
Valdoro 20/1
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10
Minzelle Fox #3 7/2
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11
Beauty Box 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Lazurite 3/1 🥉 3RD
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2
Black Velvet Boy 9/2 🥈 2ND
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3
Minzelle 7/2 10TH
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4
Harry Knows 13/2 SP 13/2 🏆 WON