Newmarket 14:25 24 Sep 2026
Class 3 24 Sep 2026

Today Federation Of Bloodstock Agents Nursery Handicap Stakes

Federation Of Bloodstock Agents Nursery Handicap Stakes · 0m5f0y

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Voting open
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Lazurite Speculative Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 7 hours, 43 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Napa silks
Napa
Age 2 · 9-9
4187
90
65
90
2
9-9
25/1 14/1 25/1
Napa struck gold three starts back and has experience of both today's trip and going, giving him solid claims; the worry is that his last two runs have seen him finish seventh and eighth, form he must leave firmly behind.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Harry Knows silks
Harry Knows
Age 2 · 9-9
422133
90
93
95
2
9-9
6/1 9/2 6/1
Harry Knows brings solid recent consistency, finishing third last time out and scoring a winner three starts back, and he has experience of today's trip and going; carrying 135 lb from stall four, he merits respect as the top-rated runner in this field.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Glamorize silks
Glamorize
Age 2 · 9-7
20117
88
79
87
2
9-7
11/1 9/1 11/1
Glamorize has back-to-back wins in her recent form but comes here on the back of a seventh last time out, and 54 days off adds a fitness query; she has run over today's trip and carries 133 lb from stall nine.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Lazurite silks
Lazurite
Age 2 · 9-4
271
85
97
90
2
9-4
10/3 11/4 10/3
Lazurite arrives on the back of a win last time out, and with experience of today's trip and going she looks a leading threat at 130 lb from stall seven — the worry is whether that weight will anchor her when it matters most.
AI verdict

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Not My Type silks
Not My Type
Age 2 · 9-3
115
84
81
87
2
9-3
11/1 6/1 11/1
Back-to-back wins underpin Not My Type's strong claims here, and she has run over today's trip before; at 129 lb from stall 2, the weight she shoulders is the one factor to keep onside.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Black Velvet Boy silks
Black Velvet Boy
Age 2 · 9-2
73112
83
97
86
2
9-2
9/2
Black Velvet Boy arrives on the back of a lively purple patch — a winner two and three starts back and runner-up last time out — and 19 days between runs suggests he returns fresh, though he faces stronger company here and his speed figure of 65 leaves him with something to find.
AI verdict

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Minzelle silks
Minzelle
Age 2 · 9-1
316
82
90
81
2
9-1
7/2 4/1 7/2
Ranked well below the principals on our figures, Minzelle faces a stiff ask after 82 days off the track, and a sixth last time out does little to encourage, though she has won in her last three starts and has run over today's trip before.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Jaijai silks
Jaijai
Age 2 · 9-1
621204
82
73
86
2
9-1
18/1 14/1 18/1
Jaijai landed a win four starts back and posted a second five starts back, so there is recent form to point to, but a 48-day absence and a trainer running at just 5% in the last 14 days are real concerns, even if he has distance and going experience to call on.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Beauty Box silks
Beauty Box
Age 2 · 9-0
42181
81
83
80
2
9-0
12/1 10/1 12/1
Ranked last on our figures and drawn in stall 10, Beauty Box is hard to fancy on ratings alone, though she has winning form in her last five starts and has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 83 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Envision silks
Envision
Age 2 · 8-12
41084
79
73
87
2
8-12
11/1 FCST 9/1
Envision won four starts back but has since struggled, finishing unplaced and eighth in the two runs that followed before a return to fourth last time out; she has experience of today's trip and conditions, though 38 days off and 124 lb are testing factors at a mark of 79.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Valdoro silks
Valdoro
Age 2 · 8-11
634
78
64
80
2
8-11
20/1 18/1 20/1
Winless in his last three starts and ranked tenth of eleven on our figures, Valdoro faces a stiff ask here; third two starts back offers a shred of encouragement, and he has run over today's trip and going before, but 123 lb from stall three makes life no easier.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Napa 25/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 26.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 21.00 28/1 Paddy Power
2 Harry Knows 6/1 open 5.50 13/2 open 6.00 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 13/2 Paddy Power
3 Glamorize 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 12/1 Coral
4 Lazurite 10/3 open 4.50 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 3.75 7/2 Paddy Power
5 Not My Type 11/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 Paddy Power
6 Black Velvet Boy 9/2 open 8.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 9/2 Bet365
7 Minzelle 7/2 open 6.50 4/1 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 Paddy Power
8 Jaijai 18/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 21.00 22/1 Paddy Power
9 Beauty Box 12/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 14/1 Paddy Power
10 Envision 11/1 open 10.00 9/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 11/1 10/1 open 13.00 12/1 Coral
11 Valdoro 20/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 21.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 22/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Lazurite

Speculative

Lazurite owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 Richard Hughes William Buick
74% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Minzelle

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · K. R. Burke
✓ Value Signal

Napa

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Kevin Philippart de Foy
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Lazurite
59.0 10/3
2 7. Minzelle
54.5 7/2
3 2. Harry Knows
53.6 6/1
4 6. Black Velvet Boy
53.2 9/2
5 9. Beauty Box
50.8 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Lazurite
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 2 · 9-4
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 97 🐾

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 2 · 9-1
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 2 · 9-2
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 97 🐾

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-9
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-7
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 2 · 9-3
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 2 · 8-12
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 2 · 9-0
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 2 · 9-1
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 2 · 8-11
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Lazurite
Confidence: Speculative

Lazurite (SR:97, 3/1) is the joint-highest rated runner and is the Richard Hughes yard's #1 — William Buick booked over stablemate Harry Knows who gets Ryan Moore but is drifting 27% to 13/2. Lazurite has won on its most recent run (form 271, rightmost = 1), carries a light 9-4 — 5lb less than Harry Knows and 7lb less than Napa — and has market support (Mkt:in8%) confirming stable confidence despite stepping up in class. The DistFit:+ at this 5f trip and course place (Course:W0P1) on a track that rewards progressive juveniles adds further substance to the case. Each-way alternative: Black Velvet Boy. Main danger: Black Velvet Boy — Black Velvet Boy (SR:97, 9/2) matches Lazurite on SR, has been steaming in 23% to 9/2 with Oisin Murphy aboard, and carries a DistFit:+ at 5f — the recent 1-1-2 sequence in his form (73112, rightmost = 2) shows genuine progressive form at this level.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Black Velvet Boy matches Lazurite's SR:97 joint-top rating, is shorter in the weights by 2lb, has been freshened by only 19 days, and is steaming in 23% vs Lazurite's modest 8% move — the market is t…
  • Lazurite's form reads just '271' — only three career runs, with a '7' (7th) sandwiched before the recent win; limited evidence this is a progressive improver ready to handle a competitive 11-runner 5…
  • Minzelle (7/2, in 18%) has had 82 days off — a significant freshener — and at 7/2 is actually shorter in the market than Lazurite at 3/1, suggesting bookmakers rate the Burke/Jamin combo a real threa…
  • Course record is W0P1 — a single placed effort but no course win; at Newmarket's Rowley Mile 5f, which has specific draw and pace biases, proven course winners have a concrete edge Lazurite cannot cl…
Shortlist Lazurite, Black Velvet Boy, Minzelle, Harry Knows
Each-way: Black Velvet Boy Danger: Black Velvet Boy

🗺 The Course Class 3

0m5f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Newmarket Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade