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Pontefract Prince Of Wales Hospice Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Thunder Goddess
SPECULATIVE Advised 1/1 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Thunder Goddess (SR:72, 1/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a meaningful margin — 3lb clear of Mother Dear and 13lb clear of the SR median — and her form line 645221 shows a progressive sequence culminating in back-to-back wins. She carries a light 9-6 despite the class rise (ClassMv:↑1), which offsets the MarkMv:+2 concern. Crucially, she holds Course:W1P1 at Pontefract, confirming she handles this track, and GoingFit:+ validates she handles good ground. The market has continued to shorten (Mkt:in8%) on what is already a well-backed favourite, and Andrew Balding's 18% strike rate with 3,000 runners is the strongest training operation in this field — his yard sends winners when they're ready. Each-way alternative: Mother Dear. Main danger: Mother Dear — Mother Dear (SR:69, 15/2) has steamed in 34% in the market, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), is proven on good ground (GoingFit:+), and Callum Rodriguez's 19% career strike rate is the strongest jockey stat in the field — the money is arriving for a reason.
Full result
Winner: Mother Dear (GB) at SP 10/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Mother Dear Fox #2 8/1
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2
Al Fujairah 14/1
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3
L'Eagle Aid Fox #3 6/1
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4
Jam Lass 11/1
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5
Thunder Goddess Fox #1 10/11
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6
Saratoga Gold 8/1
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7
Long Reign 22/1
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8
Golden Caviar 18/1
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Angel Breeze -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3