Pontefract 16:27 24 Sep 2026
Class 5 24 Sep 2026

Today Pontefract Prince Of Wales Hospice Handicap Stakes

Pontefract Prince Of Wales Hospice Handicap Stakes · 1m4f5y

off in —
Race picker

Switch race

Newmarket

13:15–16:45 · 7 races

Pontefract

13:32–17:03 · 7 races

Perth

13:39–17:10 · 7 races

Listowel

13:57–17:25 · 7 races

Southwell (AW)

16:22–20:30 · 9 races

Recently viewed

Voting open
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
AI rates Thunder Goddess Speculative Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 8 hours, 37 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Angel Breeze silks
Angel Breeze Non-Runner
Age 3 · 8-4
09-37
49
49OR
3
8-4
SP
1
L'Eagle Aid silks
L'Eagle Aid
Age 5 · 10-2
635336
70
65
80
5
10-2
6/1 11/2 5/1
Third on three occasions in recent starts, L'Eagle Aid arrives here 26 days fresh, has run over today's trip and going, and a rating of 80 makes him narrowly the pick on these figures; winless in his last six, he must convert that consistency into something more.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Mother Dear silks
Mother Dear
Age 3 · 9-9
8156
70
69
77
3
9-9
8/1 10/1 15/2
Fresh from a win three starts back and back in good time on going she has encountered before, Mother Dear arrives here with her rating of 77 suggesting she is ahead of her official mark — the question is whether she can recapture that form after back-to-back below-par efforts.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Al Fujairah silks
Al Fujairah
Age 3 · 9-8
4325
69
58
71
3
9-8
14/1 6/1 14/1
Consistent placer who finished second and third in his last four starts, Al Fujairah has experience of today's going and returns fit on a quick turnaround, though his trainer's recent 3% strike rate is a concern for a gelding yet to score.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Jam Lass silks
Jam Lass
Age 5 · 9-8
196-73
62
53
68
5
9-8
11/1 6/1 11/1
Ran well to finish third last time out, though her recent form also includes a pair of mid-pack efforts, and carrying 134 lb will test her resolve; she has run over today's trip and going before, and a win in her last five starts shows ability worth respecting.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Golden Caviar silks
Golden Caviar
Age 3 · 9-8
5-536
69
44
64
3
9-8
18/1 10/1 18/1
Winless in his last four starts and ranked seventh of eight on our figures, Golden Caviar faces a stiff task here; a struggling trainer at 4% over the last 14 days compounds the concern, though he has run over today's going before and returns fit on 15 days' rest.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

6
Saratoga Gold silks
Saratoga Gold
Age 8 · 9-7
-32663
61
59
74
8
9-7
8/1 15/2 7/1
Saratoga Gold shaped with promise when third last time out and has run over today's trip and going, while our rating of 74 puts him notably ahead of his official mark — the main concern is he remains winless in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Thunder Goddess silks
Thunder Goddess
Age 3 · 9-6
645221
61
72
68
3
9-6
10/11 Evs 5/6
Thunder Goddess won last time out and has run over today's going before, giving her obvious claims, but she carries 132 lb and her speed rating of 59 suggests she may find life competitive against the top-rated runners.
AI verdict

SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Long Reign silks
Long Reign
Age 3 · 8-4
097
49
27
46
3
8-4
22/1 12/1 22/1
Winless in his last three starts, with a seventh last time out and a ninth two starts back, Long Reign arrives 107 days off the track and ranks bottom on our figures, making him very hard to fancy here.
AI verdict

SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Angel Breeze
1 L'Eagle Aid 6/1 open 8.00 11/2 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.50 6/1 Bet365
2 Mother Dear 8/1 open 15.00 15/2 open 11.00 15/2 open 13.00 15/2 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 15/2 open 11.00 8/1 Bet365
3 Al Fujairah 14/1 open 7.00 14/1 open 7.50 14/1 open 7.00 14/1 open 7.00 14/1 open 7.00 14/1 open 7.50 14/1 Bet365
4 Jam Lass 11/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 Paddy Power
5 Golden Caviar 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 Bet365
6 Saratoga Gold 8/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 10.00 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.00 7/1 open 10.00 8/1 Bet365
7 Thunder Goddess 10/11 open 2.38 5/6 open 2.00 10/11 open 2.20 10/11 open 2.20 10/11 open 2.20 10/11 open 2.00 10/11 Bet365
8 Long Reign 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Thunder Goddess

Speculative

Thunder Goddess owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (40) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/11 Andrew Balding Charlie Tucker(7)
72% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

L'Eagle Aid

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · Charlie Johnston
✓ Value Signal

Long Reign

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · Marcus Tregoning
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
96 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Thunder Goddess
53.4 10/11
2 1. L'Eagle Aid
50.1 6/1
3 2. Mother Dear
49.1 8/1
4 3. Al Fujairah
43.8 14/1
5 4. Jam Lass
42.8 11/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Thunder Goddess
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 3 · 9-6
10/11
★★★☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 10-2
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 3 · 9-9
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 8 · 9-7
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 5 · 9-8
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-8
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-8
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 44 🐾

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Thunder Goddess
Confidence: Speculative

Thunder Goddess (SR:72, 1/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a meaningful margin — 3lb clear of Mother Dear and 13lb clear of the SR median — and her form line 645221 shows a progressive sequence culminating in back-to-back wins. She carries a light 9-6 despite the class rise (ClassMv:↑1), which offsets the MarkMv:+2 concern. Crucially, she holds Course:W1P1 at Pontefract, confirming she handles this track, and GoingFit:+ validates she handles good ground. The market has continued to shorten (Mkt:in8%) on what is already a well-backed favourite, and Andrew Balding's 18% strike rate with 3,000 runners is the strongest training operation in this field — his yard sends winners when they're ready. Each-way alternative: Mother Dear. Main danger: Mother Dear — Mother Dear (SR:69, 15/2) has steamed in 34% in the market, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), is proven on good ground (GoingFit:+), and Callum Rodriguez's 19% career strike rate is the strongest jockey stat in the field — the money is arriving for a reason.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Charlie Tucker has a strike rate of just 9% from only 102 rides — a very inexperienced jockey partnering an odds-on favourite under pressure at a tight, turning track like Pontefract.
  • Only 7 days since her last run — extremely quick turnaround for a 3yo filly who has already been raised 2lb in the weights (MarkMv:+2) following back-to-back wins; fatigue/residual stiffness is a rea…
  • Class rise (↑1) combined with a MarkMv of +2 means she is racing off a career-high mark in a higher grade simultaneously — both variables stacking against her at once.
  • Mother Dear (SR:69, 15/2) has shortened dramatically (Mkt:in34%) and Callum Rodriguez (19% strike rate) is a strong booking — a well-supported rival narrowing the SR gap to just 3lb could exploit any…
Shortlist Thunder Goddess, Mother Dear, L'Eagle Aid
Each-way: Mother Dear Danger: Mother Dear

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m4f5y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Pontefract Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade