← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Midnight Media
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Midnight Media (SR:81, 9/2) is the highest-rated runner in the field by a clear margin and carries a featherweight 8-13, giving her a 10lb+ advantage over Rose Cotton (SR:67) and a 6lb pull on Emma's Letter (SR:75) — weight is firmly in her favour despite the class rise (↑1). The form string 212122 is relentlessly consistent, showing she fires every time, and GoingFit:+ confirms she handles today's conditions. The market has ticked in 6% since opening, indicating quiet confidence from connections, and trainer Muir & Grassick are a capable yard at 11% strike rate. The class step up is the one caveat, but the SR gap and weight concession received from rivals more than compensate. Each-way alternative: Emma's Letter. Main danger: Aunt Roberta — Aunt Roberta (SR:71, 13/2) has steamed in 18% in the market — the strongest move in the field — drops three class tiers, and carries only 9-10, suggesting connections expect a sharp performance even if her distance and going fitness remain unproven.
Full result
Winner: Lady Ridgewood (GB) at SP 28/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Lady Ridgewood 40/1
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2
Guesstimate Fox #3 17/2
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3
Melody de Vega 10/1
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4
Midnight Media Fox #1 7/2
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5
Emma's Letter Fox #2 7/1
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6
Floating Market 8/1
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7
Lucy The Wire 20/1
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8
Hamdania 9/1
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9
Affection 33/1
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10
Rose Cotton 10/1
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11
Aunt Roberta Fox #4 10/3
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12
Kino Plasmat 25/1
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—
Pomme Pomme 22/1
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—
Khepri 25/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Midnight Media 9/2 🏁 4TH
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2
Emma's Letter 8/1 5TH
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3
Guesstimate 7/1 🥈 2ND
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4
Aunt Roberta 13/2 11TH