Landed a win in her last five starts and has run over today's trip, with our rating of 82 suggesting she holds strong claims at her official mark; the chief concern is a 76-day absence leaving fitness on trust.
Form last 61-6947
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
44SR82RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Rose Cotton shaped well for a podium finish two starts back and her experience over today's trip and going stands her in good stead, with our rating of 82 marking her out as a strong danger; the risk is that she has looked inconsistent in recent starts, and the 141 lb burden is significant.
Form last 6122736
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR82RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts, Pomme Pomme at least has experience of today's trip and conditions in her favour, and 21 days between runs suggests she returns fresh; however, a recent unplaced effort and 139 lb to carry from stall 14 make it hard to see her breaking through here.
Form last 6-95370
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
53SR79RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Winless in her last three starts, Aunt Roberta nonetheless brings a run over today's trip and was third last time out, though the weight burden of 136 lb from stall 12 may test her resolve here.
Form last 6643
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR79RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Hamdania arrives on the back of a win two starts back and a runner-up finish last time out, so she brings solid recent form, though our rating of 72 suggests she may find one or two rivals a cut above from stall 11 carrying 135 lb.
Form last 61-2
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
73SR73RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Melody de Vega was a winner two starts back and a runner-up three starts back, giving her a lively recent profile, and she has experience of today's trip and going; the chief concern is that six weeks off the track could see her need this run.
Form last 6358216
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR82RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Affection arrives on the back of two consecutive sixth-place finishes, but her rating of 87 makes her the one to beat in a field of 14, and she has experience of today's distance and going; a winner five starts back, and again six starts back, she has the class to bounce back from stall 10 off 134 lb.
Form last 6113466
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
52SR87RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
A winner last time out and a third two starts back, Emma's Letter brings solid recent form and distance-and-going experience to the plate; however, a 34-day absence and a trainer striking at just 4% in the last fortnight are real negatives to weigh against her.
Form last 6-39131
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
75SR75RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last three starts, with a fifth last time out and a second three starts back, Lucy The Wire faces a stiff ask ranked 11 of 14 on our figures, though she has experience over today's trip and going and is at least fresh enough after 21 days off.
Form last 6245
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
56SR68RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Guesstimate won three starts back and was second two starts back, showing genuine ability, but a seventh last time out clouds her chance here; she has run over today's trip and going, and 133 lb from stall four is the challenge to overcome.
Form last 6335127
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
74SR77RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Floating Market faces a stiff task off 131 lb, and back-to-back fifth-place finishes two and three starts back do little to inspire confidence, though she does arrive on the back of a win last time out with distance and going experience in her favour.
Form last 6551
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
65SR60RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last four starts and ranked near the foot of our figures, Kino Plasmat faces a stiff ask here, though 27 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh and stall one hands her a neutral positional reference.
Form last 64465
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
49SR65RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Consistent performer with two wins in her last six starts, including a winner three starts back and runners-up finishes last time out and two starts back; she has run over today's distance and going before, but her rating of 72 leaves her facing stiffer opposition from stall five off 125 lb.
Form last 6212122
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
81SR72RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last five starts, with a pair of eighth-place finishes in her most recent outings, Khepri is hard to fancy ranked twelfth of fourteen on our figures, though she has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a reasonable 23-day break carrying 122 lb from stall two.
Form last 644488
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR66RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Emma's Letter owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (68). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/1Ed DunlopBilly Loughnane
64%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Midnight Media
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · William Muir & Chris Grassick✓ Value Signal
Kino Plasmat
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Ed Walker◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Midnight Media (SR:81, 9/2) is the highest-rated runner in the field by a clear margin and carries a featherweight 8-13, giving her a 10lb+ advantage over Rose Cotton (SR:67) and a 6lb pull on Emma's Letter (SR:75) — weight is firmly in her favour despite the class rise (↑1). The form string 212122 is relentlessly consistent, showing she fires every time, and GoingFit:+ confirms she handles today's conditions. The market has ticked in 6% since opening, indicating quiet confidence from connections, and trainer Muir & Grassick are a capable yard at 11% strike rate. The class step up is the one caveat, but the SR gap and weight concession received from rivals more than compensate.
Each-way alternative: Emma's Letter.
Main danger: Aunt Roberta — Aunt Roberta (SR:71, 13/2) has steamed in 18% in the market — the strongest move in the field — drops three class tiers, and carries only 9-10, suggesting connections expect a sharp performance even if her distance and going fitness remain unproven.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Class rise (↑1) is the acknowledged caveat, and with SR:81 she may be meeting a stiffer ceiling — Guesstimate (SR:74, Haggas/23% yard) and Hamdania (SR:73) are closely rated and trained by yards with…
Jockey Lewis Edmunds has a modest 12% overall strike rate, and in a 14-runner AW handicap where pace and positioning matter, he is notably less experienced than rivals' riders (Loughnane 18%, Mitchel…
Mark movement of only +4 despite being the top-rated horse suggests the market is not fully convinced by the class rise; Aunt Roberta has moved in 18% and represents a more aggressive betting confide…
Form string 212122 contains no wins in her last four starts — she is consistently placed but has not converted, raising a question of whether she finds a way to lose at the critical moment under a cl…
ShortlistMidnight Media, Emma's Letter, Guesstimate, Aunt Roberta