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Selwood Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Khabib
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Khabib (SR:60, 11/4) is the second-rated horse in the field but carries 9-9 — 5lb less than top-weight Invincible Crown — and that weight advantage is significant in a Class 6 five-furlong dash. The market has steamed in 20% from its opening price, the strongest move in the field, suggesting stable confidence or informed money. Crucially, a MarkMv:-20 means the horse is running off a mark 20lb below its last winning mark, a massive concession from the handicapper that puts this horse well within striking range if hitting form. Course:W2P3 makes Khabib a proven Newcastle specialist, and while GoingFit:- is a concern on good ground, the headgear (p) and the dramatic market support outweigh that reservation in a weak Class 6 contest. Each-way alternative: Phoenix Beach. Main danger: Invincible Crown — Invincible Crown (SR:62, 15/8) is the highest-rated horse in the field and holds Course:W1P1 — the proven Newcastle specialist angle — though the 7% market drift and DistFit:- are genuine red flags that temper confidence.
Full result
Winner: Invincible Crown (IRE) at SP 4/5F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Invincible Crown Fox #2 5/4
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2
Shatin Venture 14/1
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3
Khabib Fox #1 3/1
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4
Phoenix Beach Fox #3 8/1
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5
Sixcor 10/1
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6
Moretons 50/1
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7
Doralee 12/1
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8
Havin A Flyer Fox #4 11/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Khabib 11/4 🥉 3RD
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2
Invincible Crown 15/8 SP 4/5F 🏆 WON
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3
Phoenix Beach 7/1 🏁 4TH
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4
Havin A Flyer 15/2 8TH