Newcastle (AW) 18:45 RESULTED
Class 6 25 Sep 2026

Today Selwood Handicap Stakes

Selwood Handicap Stakes · 0m5f0y

Official Result

Selwood Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Invincible Crown (IRE) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr
    4/5F
  2. 25/1
  3. Third Khabib (IRE)
    4/1
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Big race Sat 26 Sep Bet365 Cambridgeshire (Class 2 Heritage Handicap) Newmarket · 15:40

Worcester

12:55–16:25 · 7 races

Newmarket

13:15–16:45 · 7 races

Listowel

13:40–17:40 · 8 races

Haydock

13:58–17:23 · 7 races

Newcastle (AW)

16:35–20:15 · 8 races

Dundalk (AW)

17:30–20:30 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 16 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Invincible Crown silks
Invincible Crown
Age 4 · 10-0
144031
54
62
59
4
10-0
★★★☆☆
—
5/4 5/4 Evs
Invincible Crown bounced back to winning ways last time out and has run over today's trip and going, so conditions hold no fears; he carries a welterweight 140 lb from stall one, but his rating of 59 marks him as the one to beat here.
AI verdict

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Khabib silks
Khabib
Age 8 · 9-9
/98974
54
60
58
8
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
3/1 9/4 3/1
Khabib has run over today's trip and going before and, rated 58 by us, represents a live danger from stall 3, though his fourth last time out is the closest he has come to threatening in recent starts and a winless run of five is the concern.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Doralee silks
Doralee
Age 5 · 9-6
423148
51
43
52
5
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 10/1 12/1
Doralee won three starts back and has experience of today's trip and going, but her last two outings have brought a fourth and an eighth, suggesting she is in a difficult patch, and 132 lb from stall eight is no light ask.
AI verdict

SR 43 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Phoenix Beach silks
Phoenix Beach
Age 7 · 9-6
355707
51
54
58
7
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 6/1 15/2
Phoenix Beach has run over today's trip and going, carries a handy 132 lb from stall two, and our rating of 58 ranks him second of eight — a fresh eight days on from his last start, he looks a live threat, though a winless recent run of form and a yard out of form at 0/23 in the last fortnight is the concern.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Sixcor silks
Sixcor
Age 8 · 9-5
146616
50
51
49
8
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 5/1 9/1
Sixcor has won twice in his last six starts but those successes are sandwiched around a string of sixth-place finishes, and ranked seventh of eight on our figures he looks up against it here, though he has run over today's trip and going and returns on a fresh thirteen days.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Havin A Flyer silks
Havin A Flyer
Age 3 · 9-5
321346
51
57
56
3
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 5/1 11/1
Havin A Flyer showed clear ability when third three starts back and has experience of today's distance and going, returning fit on just eight days' rest; the concern is that she has been beaten into sixth last time out and must bounce back from that disappointing effort.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Shatin Venture silks
Shatin Venture
Age 5 · 9-0
042599
45
43
44
5
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 10/1 11/1
Winless in his last six starts, with back-to-back ninth-place finishes in recent outings, Shatin Venture is hard to fancy on these figures — ranked bottom of the field — though he has run over today's distance and going before and is fit enough at 23 days since last seen.
AI verdict

SR 43 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Moretons silks
Moretons
Age 3 · 9-0
556890
46
28
54
3
9-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 25/1 33/1
Winless in his last six starts, Moretons arrives on a quick turnaround of 13 days and has run over today's trip and going, yet a sequence of unplaced efforts latterly is the concern, though stall five and a weight of 126 lb leave him with something to build on mid-field.
AI verdict

SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Invincible Crown 5/4 open 3.00 6/5 open 2.25 11/10 open 2.63 11/10 open 2.63 11/10 open 2.62 evn open 2.88 5/4 Bet365
2 Khabib 3/1 open 5.50 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 3.25 3/1 Bet365
3 Doralee 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 12/1 Bet365
4 Phoenix Beach 8/1 open 7.00 15/2 open 11.00 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 Bet365
5 Sixcor 10/1 open 6.00 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 6.50 10/1 open 6.50 10/1 open 6.50 9/1 open 7.00 10/1 Bet365
6 Havin A Flyer 11/1 open 6.00 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 6.50 11/1 open 6.50 11/1 open 6.50 11/1 open 7.50 11/1 Bet365
7 Shatin Venture 14/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 13.00 14/1 Bet365
8 Moretons 50/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 29.00 50/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Invincible Crown

Speculative

Invincible Crown owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/4 Ruth Carr James Sullivan
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Khabib

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

3/1 · Ray Craggs
✓ Value Signal

Moretons

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Simon Waugh
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
29 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Invincible Crown
47.8 5/4
2 2. Khabib
45.4 3/1
3 6. Havin A Flyer
44.0 11/1
4 4. Phoenix Beach
42.6 8/1
5 3. Doralee
40.2 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Khabib
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 4 · 10-0
5/4
★★★☆☆ SR 62 🐾 —

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 8 · 9-9
3/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾 —

SR 60 suggests ability but 11/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 7 · 9-6
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾 —

SR 54 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 8 · 9-5
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾 —

SR 51 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-5
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾 —

SR 57 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 5 · 9-6
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 43 🐾 —

SR 43 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 5 · 9-0
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 43 🐾 —

SR 43 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Khabib
Confidence: Speculative

Khabib (SR:60, 11/4) is the second-rated horse in the field but carries 9-9 — 5lb less than top-weight Invincible Crown — and that weight advantage is significant in a Class 6 five-furlong dash. The market has steamed in 20% from its opening price, the strongest move in the field, suggesting stable confidence or informed money. Crucially, a MarkMv:-20 means the horse is running off a mark 20lb below its last winning mark, a massive concession from the handicapper that puts this horse well within striking range if hitting form. Course:W2P3 makes Khabib a proven Newcastle specialist, and while GoingFit:- is a concern on good ground, the headgear (p) and the dramatic market support outweigh that reservation in a weak Class 6 contest. Each-way alternative: Phoenix Beach. Main danger: Invincible Crown — Invincible Crown (SR:62, 15/8) is the highest-rated horse in the field and holds Course:W1P1 — the proven Newcastle specialist angle — though the 7% market drift and DistFit:- are genuine red flags that temper confidence.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Khabib is aged 8 with a current form string of /98974 — no finish better than 7th in recent starts, including a course run, suggesting the horse is genuinely out of form rather than simply handicappe…
  • Trainer Ray Craggs strikes at just 9% from only 65 runners — a very small, low-percentage yard — and jockey Cian Horgan (claiming 5lb) hits at a modest 5%, a weak handler-rider combination for a hors…
  • The MarkMv:-20 indicates the handicapper has dropped Khabib 20lb, but horses dropped this far are often doing so because they are chronically failing to fire, not because they are unlucky — the form…
  • GoingFit:- on what is described as good ground is a meaningful flag: Newcastle AW typically suits horses proven on the surface, and an unresolved going concern combined with a 6-day turnaround at age…
Shortlist Khabib, Invincible Crown, Phoenix Beach, Havin A Flyer
Each-way: Phoenix Beach Danger: Invincible Crown

🗺 The Course Class 6

0m5f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Newcastle (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade