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18:00 Dundalk (AW) Fri 25 Sep 2026 0m6f0y Good 13 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Initial Blue silks

Initial Blue

SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 28%

6TH

Mr Fox says

Initial Blue (SR:75, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and carries form figures of 172311 — three wins and a place from the last four runs, showing a horse in peak form. The 10-4 weight burden is a concern but at SR:75 it dwarfs the next-best (Boston Max SR:67, Mehman SR:66) and the DistFit:+ confirms this 6f trip suits well. The Mkt:out13% drift is the only blemish, but with no credible SR rival anywhere near its level, the market move looks like bookmaker protection rather than informed opposition. Jack Kearney's 9% strike rate for an apprentice is solid and the 15-day freshness is fine. Each-way alternative: Boston Max. Main danger: Caffu Zafeen — The 27% market steam to 11/4 favourite suggests informed money, and if the DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are being dismissed by connections who know the horse handles conditions better than the record suggests, its SR:65 from the lightest weight in the field (8-13) makes it physically capable of running a big race.

Verify· #19753

Full result

Winner: Caffu Zafeen (IRE) at SP 8/11F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Caffu Zafeen silks Caffu Zafeen Fox #4 Paul W Flynn · Shay Wallace(7) 9/4
  2. 2 Firewalker silks Firewalker Robson De Aguiar · Patrick McGettigan(2) 10/1
  3. 3 Mehman silks Mehman Fox #3 P J F Murphy · Conor Cusack(7) 6/1
  4. 4 Boston Max silks Boston Max Fox #2 Gordon Elliott · Nina Doherty(7) 11/1
  5. 5 Prince Andorra silks Prince Andorra Ms Claire O'Connell · Alan Casey(7) 66/1
  6. 6 Initial Blue silks Initial Blue Fox #1 Jack W Davison · Jack Kearney 9/2
  7. 7 Leveraging silks Leveraging Ms Sheila Lavery · Jack Cleary 18/1
  8. 8 Kc Bear silks Kc Bear Noel Meade · Nicola Burns(2) 11/1
  9. 9 Profit Surge silks Profit Surge Ian Patrick Donoghue · Sadhbh Tormey(7) 28/1
  10. 10 Soulful Diva silks Soulful Diva David Marnane · Rebecca Parsons(7) 14/1
  11. 11 Coincidental Glory silks Coincidental Glory Adrian McGuinness · Reese Holohan(4) 6/1
  12. 12 Frosted Sky silks Frosted Sky Daniel McLoughlin · Keithen Kennedy 18/1
  13. 13 Spirit Above silks Spirit Above K Smith · Rory Mulligan 25/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Initial Blue silks Initial Blue 4/1 6TH
  2. 2 Boston Max silks Boston Max 17/2 🏁 4TH
  3. 3 Mehman silks Mehman 11/2 🥉 3RD
  4. 4 Caffu Zafeen silks Caffu Zafeen 11/4 SP 8/11F 🏆 WON