Dundalk (AW) 18:00 RESULTED
25 Sep 2026

Today View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap

View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap · 0m6f0y

Official Result

View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Caffu Zafeen (IRE) Shay Wallace · Paul W Flynn
    8/11F
  2. 18/1
  3. Third Mehman (GB)
    7/1
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Big race Sat 26 Sep Bet365 Cambridgeshire (Class 2 Heritage Handicap) Newmarket · 15:40

Worcester

12:55–16:25 · 7 races

Newmarket

13:15–16:45 · 7 races

Listowel

13:40–17:40 · 8 races

Haydock

13:58–17:23 · 7 races

Newcastle (AW)

16:35–20:15 · 8 races

Dundalk (AW)

17:30–20:30 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 15 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Initial Blue silks
Initial Blue
Age 4 · 10-4
172311
74
75
72
4
10-4
★★☆☆☆
—
9/2 10/3 9/2
SR 75 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Firewalker silks
Firewalker
Age 3 · 10-2
2-940
74
57
66
3
10-2
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 15/2 10/1
SR 57 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Coincidental Glory silks
Coincidental Glory
Age 3 · 10-0
329403
72
61
74
3
10-0
★★☆☆☆
—
6/1 4/1 11/2
Coincidental Glory was third last time out and has run over today's trip and going, with our rating of 74 marking him out as a genuine danger in this field; the chief concern is a trainer currently without a winner in 42 attempts over the past fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Leveraging silks
Leveraging
Age 3 · 10-0
61-060
72
44
72
3
10-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
18/1 FCST 16/1
Leveraging has run over today's trip and going, and that experience counts in his favour alongside a rating of 72 that marks him as a genuine threat in this field; the concern is that he has been unplaced in two of his last three starts, so consistency remains the question.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

5
Mehman silks
Mehman
Age 7 · 9-12
230057
68
66
80
7
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
6/1 11/2 6/1
Mehman arrives on the back of a fifth two starts back and holds the strongest rating in a field of 13, making him the one to beat despite being winless in his last six starts, with experience over today's distance and going a further tick in his favour.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Soulful Diva silks
Soulful Diva
Age 3 · 9-11
-69209
69
60
79
3
9-11
★☆☆☆☆
—
14/1 9/1 14/1
Soulful Diva has run over today's trip and going, and our rating has her ranked second in this field at 79, making her a genuine threat despite carrying 137 lb from stall nine; the risk is that she has been winless in her last five starts, with two ninth-place finishes in recent outings.
AI verdict

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

7
Profit Surge silks
Profit Surge
Age 5 · 9-9
233140
65
49
71
5
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 16/1 28/1
Profit Surge was a winner three starts back but has been unplaced on her most recent outing, and while she has run over today's distance and going, 135 lb is a stiff burden to overcome from stall seven.
AI verdict

SR 49 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Boston Max silks
Boston Max
Age 3 · 9-2
0-1125
60
67
62
3
9-2
★★★☆☆
—
11/1 5/1 11/1
Boston Max showed smart form three starts back and four starts back, winning on both occasions, but his most recent efforts — fifth last time out and a 76-day absence — are the checks that keep him a midfield proposition despite distance and going experience in his favour.
AI verdict

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Kc Bear silks
Kc Bear
Age 3 · 9-2
242876
60
57
69
3
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 13/2 11/1
Winless in his last six starts, with his most recent efforts a sixth and seventh, Kc Bear drops back with experience over today's trip and going in his favour, though a trainer without a win in 24 attempts over the past fortnight is a significant concern from stall 10 off 128 lb.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Prince Andorra silks
Prince Andorra
Age 3 · 9-1
75600
59
34
59
3
9-1
★☆☆☆☆
—
66/1 50/1 66/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 12 of 13 on our figures, Prince Andorra faces a stiff task here; back just four days after an unplaced effort, though he has run over today's distance and going before and carries a manageable 127 lb from stall eight.
AI verdict

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

11
Caffu Zafeen silks
Caffu Zafeen
Age 5 · 8-13
009051
48
65
62
5
8-13
★★★☆☆
—
9/4 7/2 7/4
Caffu Zafeen has shown little consistency in recent starts, with unplaced efforts dominating his last six, and ranked tenth of thirteen on our figures he faces a stiff task here, though his latest win and experience over today's trip and going offer slim encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Frosted Sky silks
Frosted Sky
Age 3 · 8-9
88608
53
44
61
3
8-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
18/1 14/1 16/1
Winless in her last five starts, with three eighths among them, Frosted Sky is hard to fancy at a rating of 53, though she has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a relatively sharp 16-day turnaround from draw 1.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

13
Spirit Above silks
Spirit Above
Age 3 · 8-8
770240
52
42
55
3
8-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1 14/1 22/1
Winless in his last six starts and ranked last on our figures, Spirit Above faces a stiff task off an official rating of 52 after 76 days off, with an unplaced effort on his most recent outing and a second three starts back the only flicker of encouragement in a largely disappointing recent sequence.
AI verdict

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Initial Blue 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 Bet365
2 Firewalker 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 9.50 10/1 open 9.50 11/1 Coral
3 Coincidental Glory 6/1 open 11.00 11/2 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 6.50 11/2 6/1 Bet365
4 Leveraging 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 18/1 Bet365
5 Mehman 6/1 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 7/1 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 7/1 William Hill
6 Soulful Diva 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 Bet365
7 Profit Surge 28/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 Paddy Power
8 Boston Max 11/1 open 6.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 9.00 15/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 8.00 15/1 William Hill
9 Kc Bear 11/1 11/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 Bet365
10 Prince Andorra 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 66/1 Bet365
11 Caffu Zafeen 9/4 open 6.50 7/4 open 4.50 2/1 open 4.50 2/1 open 4.50 15/8 open 5.00 2/1 open 5.00 9/4 Bet365
12 Frosted Sky 18/1 open 15.00 16/1 16/1 16/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 Bet365
13 Spirit Above 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 19.00 25/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Caffu Zafeen

Speculative

Caffu Zafeen owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Paul W Flynn Shay Wallace(7)
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Initial Blue

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Jack W Davison
✓ Value Signal

Profit Surge

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Ian Patrick Donoghue
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 11. Caffu Zafeen
51.3 9/4
2 1. Initial Blue
48.2 9/2
3 5. Mehman
47.6 6/1
4 3. Coincidental Glory
46.5 6/1
5 8. Boston Max
42.7 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Initial Blue
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

11
Age 5 · 8-13
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 65 🐾 —

SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 10-4
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾 —

SR 75 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 10-0
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾 —

SR 61 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 7 · 9-12
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾 —

SR 66 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 3 · 10-2
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾 —

SR 57 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-2
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 67 🐾 —

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 3 · 9-2
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾 —

SR 57 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-11
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾 —

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

4
Age 3 · 10-0
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 44 🐾 —

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

12
Age 3 · 8-9
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 44 🐾 —

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Initial Blue
Confidence: Speculative

Initial Blue (SR:75, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and carries form figures of 172311 — three wins and a place from the last four runs, showing a horse in peak form. The 10-4 weight burden is a concern but at SR:75 it dwarfs the next-best (Boston Max SR:67, Mehman SR:66) and the DistFit:+ confirms this 6f trip suits well. The Mkt:out13% drift is the only blemish, but with no credible SR rival anywhere near its level, the market move looks like bookmaker protection rather than informed opposition. Jack Kearney's 9% strike rate for an apprentice is solid and the 15-day freshness is fine. Each-way alternative: Boston Max. Main danger: Caffu Zafeen — The 27% market steam to 11/4 favourite suggests informed money, and if the DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are being dismissed by connections who know the horse handles conditions better than the record suggests, its SR:65 from the lightest weight in the field (8-13) makes it physically capable of running a big race.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Top weight of 10-4 in a 13-runner AW handicap is a significant burden; at 6f on Dundalk's tight circuit this extra weight disadvantage is compounded versus rivals carrying 8-9 to 9-12.
  • Market drift of 13% out with a MarkMv of +5 is notable — Caffu Zafeen has been backed in 27% to 11/4 favourite, suggesting informed money is strongly against Initial Blue and for a rival on just 4 da…
  • Apprentice Jack Kearney (9% strike rate, claiming 3lb) carries a 3lb claim but still rides 10-4 — that combination of a moderate-SR apprentice under top weight in a competitive 13-runner sprint is a…
  • Form figure '1' two runs ago masks a '7' in the most recent completed race before the last win; the 172311 sequence includes a 7th-place finish that suggests vulnerabilities under pressure, and this…
Shortlist Initial Blue, Boston Max, Mehman, Caffu Zafeen
Each-way: Boston Max Danger: Caffu Zafeen

🗺 The Course Race conditions

0m6f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Dundalk (AW) Track and setting