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Bridge, The Home Of The Carvery Nursery Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Rhodes Runner
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 SP 9/4F Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Rhodes Runner (SR 80, 9/4) is the class standout in this field — the SR gap over the next-best (Knock Three Times at SR 74, Naval Cop at SR 70) is meaningful in a Class 5 nursery. Carrying 9-9, a 10lb pull on Naval Cop and 7lb on the Osborne pair, yet the SR advantage more than justifies the weight. The 9% market shortening confirms stable confidence, and the drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) with Ralph Beckett operating at a strong 19% career strike rate provides the connections edge. Form reading 246421 shows a recent win and consistent competitiveness; the step back to 5f on soft is the only question mark, but DistFit:~ suggests it is not a disqualifying concern. Each-way alternative: Knock Three Times. Main danger: Wolf's Gallop — Wolf's Gallop (SR 68, 6/1) carries the lightest competitive weight at 9-2, has steamed in 14% suggesting market intelligence, and Tom Lacey's 19% strike rate matches Beckett's — if the soft ground turns the race into a slog, the low weight could prove decisive.
Full result
Winner: Rhodes Runner (IRE) at SP 9/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Rhodes Runner Fox #1 5/2
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2
Wolf's Gallop Fox #3 10/1
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3
Perigord Noir 9/2
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4
Defiant Dream 40/1
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5
Knock Three Times Fox #2 9/2
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6
Blondie Larry 8/1
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7
Naval Cop Fox #4 7/2
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8
Niewiadoma 20/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Rhodes Runner 9/4 SP 9/4F 🏆 WON
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2
Knock Three Times 9/2 5TH
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3
Wolf's Gallop 6/1 🥈 2ND
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4
Naval Cop 5/1 7TH