Ffos Las 13:49 RESULTED
Class 5 27 Sep 2026

Last Sunday Bridge, The Home Of The Carvery Nursery Handicap Stakes

Bridge, The Home Of The Carvery Nursery Handicap Stakes · 5f

Official Result

Bridge, The Home Of The Carvery Nursery Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Rhodes Runner (IRE) Rhys Clutterbuck · Ralph Beckett
    9/4F
  2. 10/1
  3. 7/2
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Big race Sun 4 Oct Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe ParisLongchamp · 15:05

Ffos Las

13:19–17:19 · 8 races

Curragh

13:25–17:30 · 8 races

Epsom

13:37–17:07 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 6 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Rhodes Runner silks
Rhodes Runner
Age 2 · 9-9
246421
75
80
79
2
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
5/2 2/1 9/4
Rhodes Runner arrives on the back of a win last time out and a second two starts back, giving her a consistent recent profile that marks her out as the one to beat here, and she has run over today's trip before, with 135 lb and stall four her conditions to handle.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Blondie Larry silks
Blondie Larry
Age 2 · 9-7
522
73
68
77
2
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 4/1 15/2
Consistent and threatening, Blondie Larry has finished second in each of his last two starts and, while yet to score, he brings solid placed form into this, has run over today's trip, and our rating of 77 has him well within range; the concern is 73 days off the track.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Knock Three Times silks
Knock Three Times
Age 2 · 9-7
224154
73
74
79
2
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 9/2 4/1
Knock Three Times won three starts back and has run over today's trip, and her rating of 79 suggests she retains the class to threaten here; the concern is that two subsequent finishes outside the places hint her form may have dipped at the wrong moment.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Niewiadoma silks
Niewiadoma
Age 2 · 9-7
190004
73
47
75
2
9-7
★☆☆☆☆
—
20/1 10/1 20/1
Niewiadoma won one in her last six starts and has run over today's trip, but unplaced efforts in between cloud the picture; fourth last time out offers a crumb of encouragement, and 12 days since her latest run suggests she arrives fresh enough to make her presence felt from stall six.
AI verdict

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

5
Perigord Noir silks
Perigord Noir
Age 2 · 9-5
344023
71
69
77
2
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
9/2 9/2 4/1
Perigord Noir arrives here in decent nick, finishing third last time out and second two starts back, showing consistent placement form, and he has run over today's trip; the risk is he remains winless in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Wolf's Gallop silks
Wolf's Gallop
Age 2 · 9-2
73348
68
68
73
2
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 6/1 10/1
Wolf's Gallop arrives 45 days fresh and winless in his last five starts, though a pair of thirds three and four starts back shows he can get competitive; that eighth last time out is the concern, and he faces a stiff task ranked sixth of eight here.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Naval Cop silks
Naval Cop
Age 2 · 8-13
46513
65
70
72
2
8-13
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 7/2 3/1
Ranked seventh of eight on our figures, Naval Cop faces a stiff ask, and a speed rating of 68 does little to inspire confidence in a competitive heat. Third last time out is a positive, and she has run over today's trip and going, but the overall profile makes her hard to fancy at these weights.
AI verdict

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Defiant Dream silks
Defiant Dream
Age 2 · 8-2
92650
53
37
61
2
8-2
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Defiant Dream faces a stiff ask here, though she has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a quick ten-day turnaround carrying 114 lb from stall three.
AI verdict

SR 37 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Rhodes Runner 5/2 open 4.33 5/2 open 3.00 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.50 11/4 Coral
2 Blondie Larry 8/1 open 5.50 8/1 open 5.00 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 5.50 8/1 open 5.50 15/2 open 5.50 8/1 Bet365
3 Knock Three Times 9/2 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 9/2 Bet365
4 Niewiadoma 20/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 Paddy Power
5 Perigord Noir 9/2 open 6.00 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 9/2 Bet365
6 Wolf's Gallop 10/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 12/1 Paddy Power
7 Naval Cop 7/2 10/3 open 7.00 3/1 open 5.50 3/1 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 7/2 Bet365
8 Defiant Dream 40/1 40/1 open 67.00 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Rhodes Runner

Speculative

Rhodes Runner owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 Ralph Beckett Rhys Clutterbuck
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Knock Three Times

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Jamie Osborne
✓ Value Signal

Defiant Dream

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Mark Usher
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Rhodes Runner
53.8 5/2
2 3. Knock Three Times
53.2 9/2
3 5. Perigord Noir
50.7 9/2
4 7. Naval Cop
49.6 7/2
5 6. Wolf's Gallop
47.1 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Rhodes Runner
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 9-9
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 2 · 8-13
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-7
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 2 · 9-5
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 2 · 9-7
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 2 · 9-2
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 2 · 9-7
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾 —

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Rhodes Runner
Confidence: Speculative

Rhodes Runner (SR 80, 9/4) is the class standout in this field — the SR gap over the next-best (Knock Three Times at SR 74, Naval Cop at SR 70) is meaningful in a Class 5 nursery. Carrying 9-9, a 10lb pull on Naval Cop and 7lb on the Osborne pair, yet the SR advantage more than justifies the weight. The 9% market shortening confirms stable confidence, and the drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) with Ralph Beckett operating at a strong 19% career strike rate provides the connections edge. Form reading 246421 shows a recent win and consistent competitiveness; the step back to 5f on soft is the only question mark, but DistFit:~ suggests it is not a disqualifying concern. Each-way alternative: Knock Three Times. Main danger: Wolf's Gallop — Wolf's Gallop (SR 68, 6/1) carries the lightest competitive weight at 9-2, has steamed in 14% suggesting market intelligence, and Tom Lacey's 19% strike rate matches Beckett's — if the soft ground turns the race into a slog, the low weight could prove decisive.

Case against 4 clamped
  • DistFit:~ flags a genuine unknown at 5f — Rhodes Runner's form (246421) was built over longer trips, and soft ground at Ffos Las will test stamina reserves that a true 5f horse exploits natively.
  • Jockey Rhys Clutterbuck at 11% strike rate is the weakest rider in the top half of the field; Saffie Osborne (14%) on Knock Three Times and Callum Hutchinson (12%) on Naval Cop both hold a meaningful…
  • Naval Cop is drifting in market terms (out 7%, MarkMv:+5 in a positive direction) suggesting Andrew Balding's yard has live support, and at 8-13 Naval Cop receives 10lb — a significant pull that coul…
  • Knock Three Times ran just 15 days ago (vs Rhodes Runner's 8 days), is track-fresh with headgear flag (p) indicating Osborne has already been optimising the horse, and is shortening 8% — a parallel m…
Shortlist Rhodes Runner, Knock Three Times, Wolf's Gallop, Naval Cop
Each-way: Knock Three Times Danger: Wolf's Gallop

🗺 The Course Class 5

5f Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Ffos Las Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade