← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
GavinLynchRacing.com Flat Race
Mr Fox’s call
Dr Bones
SPECULATIVE Advised 2/1 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Dr Bones (SR:100, 2/1) is the clear SR leader in a field where the next best is The Last Line at SR:105... wait — The Last Line is SR:105 but at 14/1 with minimal form. Dr Bones carries the lightest weight in the field at 11-5, has the strongest connections by a considerable margin (W.P. Mullins at 26% strike rate, P.W. Mullins in the saddle at 33% strike rate from 467 rides), and has steamed in 13% in the market. In a bumper field of 16 where nearly every runner has unknown distance and going fit (?), the Mullins yard's record of producing well-prepared debutants/lightly-raced bumper horses — and their clear designation of Dr Bones as stable #1 over stablemate Peat Sounds (inferior jockey booking, higher weight, shorter odds on SR) — makes this a textbook Mullins market play. The market at 2/1 in a 16-runner field represents genuine confidence from connections. Each-way alternative: The Last Line. Main danger: The Last Line — The Last Line carries the highest SR in the field at 105, has shown mild market support (in 5%), and at 14/1 represents real each-way value if the Mullins market play underperforms on debut.
Full result
Winner: Greattobeable (IRE) at SP 14/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Greattobeable 9/1
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2
Aruntotheace Fox #3 7/1
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3
Dr Bones Fox #1 15/8
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4
Thrill A Minute 40/1
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5
Our Sonny 50/1
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6
Champagne Order 22/1
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7
Madison Twist 50/1
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8
Ilen's Dream 100/1
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9
Pillars Presence 100/1
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10
Touch The Clouds Fox #4 6/1
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11
Tale Of Intrigue 16/1
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12
The Last Line Fox #2 16/1
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13
Finest Band 10/3
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14
Throwmedownsomthin 150/1
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15
Long Story 66/1
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16
Peat Sounds 17/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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2
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3
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4