GavinLynchRacing.com Flat Race · 1m7f135y
SR 76 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 87 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 105 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 68 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 150/1.
SR 84 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Champagne Order | 22/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 | 22/1 | 22/1 | 22/1 | 22/1 | 25/1 Paddy Power |
| 2 Finest Band | 10/3 open 3.25 | 10/3 open 3.75 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 10/3 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 3 Greattobeable | 9/1 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Ilen's Dream | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | — | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Long Story | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | — | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Our Sonny | 50/1 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | — | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Tale Of Intrigue | 16/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 18/1 Paddy Power |
| 8 The Last Line | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Thrill A Minute | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Touch The Clouds | 6/1 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 5.50 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 13/2 Paddy Power |
| 11 Aruntotheace | 7/1 open 7.00 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Madison Twist | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | — | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Pillars Presence | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | — | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Throwmedownsomthin | 150/1 open 101.00 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 open 151.00 | 200/1 Paddy Power |
| 15 Peat Sounds | 17/2 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 8/1 open 9.50 | 8/1 open 9.50 | 8/1 open 9.50 | 8/1 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 16 Dr Bones | 15/8 open 3.50 | 13/8 open 3.50 | 13/8 open 3.50 | 13/8 open 3.50 | 13/8 open 3.50 | 13/8 open 2.75 | 15/8 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Dr Bones owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (56) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 84 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 86 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 87 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 105 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Dr Bones (SR:100, 2/1) is the clear SR leader in a field where the next best is The Last Line at SR:105... wait — The Last Line is SR:105 but at 14/1 with minimal form. Dr Bones carries the lightest weight in the field at 11-5, has the strongest connections by a considerable margin (W.P. Mullins at 26% strike rate, P.W. Mullins in the saddle at 33% strike rate from 467 rides), and has steamed in 13% in the market. In a bumper field of 16 where nearly every runner has unknown distance and going fit (?), the Mullins yard's record of producing well-prepared debutants/lightly-raced bumper horses — and their clear designation of Dr Bones as stable #1 over stablemate Peat Sounds (inferior jockey booking, higher weight, shorter odds on SR) — makes this a textbook Mullins market play. The market at 2/1 in a 16-runner field represents genuine confidence from connections. Each-way alternative: The Last Line. Main danger: The Last Line — The Last Line carries the highest SR in the field at 105, has shown mild market support (in 5%), and at 14/1 represents real each-way value if the Mullins market play underperforms on debut.