Book Racing On Saturday 31 October Handicap Stakes

16:40 Ayr Tue 29 Sep 2026 6f Class 4 Heavy 8 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Parisiac

SPECULATIVE Advised 11/2 Est. 28%

🥈 2ND

Mr Fox says

Parisiac (SR:80, 11/2) is the standout selection on a convergence of signals. The Mkt:in57% move is the strongest market signal in the field by some distance — money has more than halved this horse's implied probability since opening, and that kind of sustained steam on a heavy-ground Class 4 sprint demands respect. Course:W2P4 at Ayr is exceptional specialist form, directly relevant on this track. Dropping one class (ClassMv:↓1) gives a further edge, and while GoingFit:? flags limited heavy-ground data, running off MarkMv:= means the handicapper hasn't punished recent form. The 1-day turnaround is bold from Jardine but the market clearly knows the horse is in good order. Each-way alternative: Woven. Main danger: Woven — Woven (SR:87, 7/2) carries the field's highest SR, has steamed in 35% in the market, holds Course:W1P3 at Ayr, and drops two classes — but DistFit:- and GoingFit:- on heavy ground are real flags that the market may be over-weighting the class drop.

Verify· #20486

Full result

Winner: Big Harry (GB) at SP 13/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

1 Big Harry William Stone · Shane Gray 5/1
2 Parisiac Fox #1 Iain Jardine · Jack Nicholls(3) 11/2
3 Ashen Jim Goldie · Paul Mulrennan 7/2
4 Stirrup Cup Tim Easterby · David Allan 33/1
5 Belsito Fox #4 Kevin Ryan · Tom Eaves 9/1
6 Roberto Caro Adrian Keatley · M. P. Sheehy 9/1
7 Woven Fox #2 Michael Dods · Connor Beasley 9/2
8 Lord Bertie Fox #3 David O'Meara · Mark Winn 4/1

Top 4 — how each finished

1 Parisiac 11/2 🥈 2ND
2 Woven 7/2 7TH
3 Lord Bertie 5/1 8TH
4 Belsito 5/1 5TH