Mj Church Handicap Stakes

14:32 Bath Tue 29 Sep 2026 1m5f11y Class 5 Good to Firm 14 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Two Plus Two

SPECULATIVE Advised 13/2 Est. 24%

7TH

Mr Fox says

Two Plus Two (SR:68, 13/2, Wgt:9-5) combines the strongest market signal in the race — a 39% inward move from opening — with Course:W2P2 at Bath, making this horse a proven course specialist. Dropping three class tiers (ClassMv:↓3) while carrying a relatively light 9-5 in a Class 5 field is a compelling combination, and Rossa Ryan's 18% career strike rate is the best jockey stat in the race. The MarkMv:+2 is a minor concern but the class drop more than compensates, and the money coming in strongly at 13/2 suggests connections are confident. Each-way alternative: Cosmo Brown. Main danger: Cosmo Brown — Cosmo Brown (SR:77, 9/2, Wgt:9-8) is the highest-rated horse in the field, has shortened 16% in the market, and carries the top SR by a clear margin — if the 3-year-old's untested distance and going fitness (both DistFit:? and GoingFit:?) prove adequate over 1m5f, his class edge makes him the most likely winner.

Verify· #20419

Full result

Winner: Hebridean Nomad (GB) at SP 6/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.