← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Power Logistics Nursery Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Hemustbeanangel
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/4 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Hemustbeanangel (SR:68, 7/4) is the clear class leader in this Class 6 nursery and the market has backed that up emphatically — shortening 33% since opening to 7/4, the sharpest move in the field. Crucially, it is the only runner with both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+, confirming proven ability at this 5f160y trip on good-to-firm ground specifically. At 9-8 it carries just 1lb more than Past Passion (SR:72) but holds a massive SR advantage over every other runner, and Roger Teal's 13% yard strike rate with Joe Leavy (12%, 1,261 career rides) is a competent booking rather than a defensive one. The form string 9-3-3-6 reads modestly but the distance and going fit — absent from all genuine dangers — is the differentiator here. Each-way alternative: Past Passion. Main danger: Past Passion — Past Passion (SR:72, 4/1) holds the highest SR in the field and has steamed 22% in the market, suggesting stable confidence, and while GoingFit:? is a mild unknown, its DistFit:~ at least covers the trip adequately unlike most rivals.
Full result
Winner: Last Dandelion (GB) at SP 10/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Last Dandelion 18/1
-
2
Polly The Sniper 10/1
-
3
Good Fighter 25/1
-
4
Past Passion Fox #2 4/1
-
5
So Tempting 11/1
-
6
Hemustbeanangel Fox #1 2/1
-
7
Premium Seat 22/1
-
8
Devon Angel 9/2
-
9
It's A Dream 40/1
-
10
Foxsbrush 50/1
-
11
Courseyoudo 33/1
-
—
Snow On The Beach Fox #3 5/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Hemustbeanangel 7/4 6TH
-
2
Past Passion 4/1 🏁 4TH
-
3
Snow On The Beach 11/2