← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Fairlight Studios Cafe @ Sedgefield Racecourse Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Red Shea
SPECULATIVE Advised 15/8 SP 8/11F Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Red Shea (SR:110, 15/8) carries the lightest weight at 11-0 alongside Rescheduled, and crucially shows a 15% market move in — the strongest market confidence signal in this field. Its SR of 110 matches the top-rated runners and jockey Mr H C Swan carries a 19% career strike rate, the best in the field among the four. With only one prior run (a second), the form is limited but the recency (57 days) is solid and the market's aggressive shortening from 15% in is the key differentiator over a small four-runner field. Each-way alternative: Lower De Couely. Main danger: Lower De Couely — Lower De Couely (SR:118, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field, carries the lightest weight at 10-9, has a winning run on its sole outing, and is trained by the high-volume Greenall & Guerriero yard (15% strike rate) — a compelling package that could easily overhaul Red Shea.
Full result
Winner: Red Shea (IRE) at SP 8/11F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Red Shea Fox #1 7/4
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2
Rescheduled Fox #3 11/2
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3
Close House 10/11
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—
Lower De Couely Fox #2 4/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Red Shea 15/8 SP 8/11F 🏆 WON
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2
Lower De Couely 4/1
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3
Rescheduled 11/2 🥈 2ND