Sedgefield 16:45 RESULTED
Class 4 29 Sep 2026

Last Tuesday Fairlight Studios Cafe @ Sedgefield Racecourse Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

Fairlight Studios Cafe @ Sedgefield Racecourse Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race) · 2m0f178y

Official Result

Fairlight Studios Cafe @ Sedgefield Racecourse Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Red Shea (IRE) Mr H C Swan · Cian Hughes
    8/11F
  2. 16/1
  3. 11/8
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Settled
  • 4 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Close House silks
Close House
Age 5 · 11-2
3-
—
108
114
5
11-2
★★★☆☆
—
10/11 10/11 5/6
Close House brings top-rated form into this and has run over today's trip, while his third last time out shows he can mix it at this level; the chief concern is 164 days off the track, leaving fitness the main question mark.
AI verdict

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Red Shea silks
Red Shea
Age 4 · 11-0
2
—
110
109
4
11-0
★★★★☆
—
7/4 9/4 31/19
Red Shea shaped well last time out, finishing second, and returns here after 57 days carrying 154 lb with experience of today's distance and going to call on; yet to land a race in recent starts, but his profile makes him our selection.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Rescheduled silks
Rescheduled
Age 4 · 11-0
—
—
110
—
4
11-0
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 7/1 9/2
Unraced and therefore completely unexposed, Rescheduled makes his debut here carrying 154 lb, with plenty of unknowns but all the scope for improvement that comes with a horse yet to show his hand on a racecourse.
AI verdict

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Lower De Couely silks
Lower De Couely
Age 5 · 10-9
1
—
118
—
5
10-9
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 FCST 10/3
Unexposed and open to improvement, Lower De Couely was a winner last time out and returns after 144 days off carrying 149 lb; with just the one recent start on record, she remains a mare with plenty still to offer.
AI verdict

SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Close House 10/11 5/6 open 2.00 5/6 open 1.91 5/6 open 1.91 10/11 5/6 open 2.00 10/11 Bet365
2 Red Shea 7/4 open 3.50 13/8 open 3.25 7/4 open 3.25 7/4 open 3.25 13/8 open 3.25 13/8 open 3.25 7/4 Bet365
3 Rescheduled 11/2 open 9.00 9/2 open 11.00 5/1 open 10.00 5/1 open 10.00 5/1 open 10.00 5/1 open 8.00 11/2 Bet365
4 Lower De Couely 4/1 open 5.50 10/3 10/3 open 5.00 10/3 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 10/3 open 4.50 4/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Lower De Couely

Live signal

Lower De Couely owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (66) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero Jack Tudor
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Close House

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/11 · Chris Grant
✓ Value Signal

Rescheduled

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

11/2 · Donald McCain
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
66 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +24.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 4 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Lower De Couely
65.3 4/1
2 1. Close House
62.7 10/11
3 2. Red Shea
60.6 7/4
4 3. Rescheduled
58.4 11/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Red Shea
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 5 · 11-2
10/11
★★★☆☆ SR 108 🐾 —

SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 11-0
7/4
★★★★☆ SR 110 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 5 · 10-9
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 118 🐾 —

SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 4 · 11-0
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 110 🐾 —

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Red Shea
Confidence: Speculative

Red Shea (SR:110, 15/8) carries the lightest weight at 11-0 alongside Rescheduled, and crucially shows a 15% market move in — the strongest market confidence signal in this field. Its SR of 110 matches the top-rated runners and jockey Mr H C Swan carries a 19% career strike rate, the best in the field among the four. With only one prior run (a second), the form is limited but the recency (57 days) is solid and the market's aggressive shortening from 15% in is the key differentiator over a small four-runner field. Each-way alternative: Lower De Couely. Main danger: Lower De Couely — Lower De Couely (SR:118, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field, carries the lightest weight at 10-9, has a winning run on its sole outing, and is trained by the high-volume Greenall & Guerriero yard (15% strike rate) — a compelling package that could easily overhaul Red Shea.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Red Shea has just one career run (a second place) — the market favourite Close House and Lower De Couely have demonstrated winning form, making Red Shea's single placed effort the thinnest race-readi…
  • Lower De Couely holds the highest SR (118 vs Red Shea's 110), carries 5lb less weight at 10-9, won on its sole start, and its trainer Greenall/Guerriero has a 15% strike rate with 1042 runners — a po…
  • Rescheduled moved in most aggressively at 35% — more than double Red Shea's 15% market move — suggesting bookmakers and insiders may actually hold Rescheduled in higher regard than the primary pick.
  • Red Shea's trainer Cian Hughes has only an 8% strike rate from 102 runners, the weakest training operation in this four-runner field, which meaningfully undermines confidence in stable readiness.
Shortlist Red Shea, Lower De Couely, Rescheduled
Each-way: Lower De Couely Danger: Lower De Couely

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m0f178y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
4 Confirmed runners
Sedgefield Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade