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Mr Fox’s call
Dark Mandate
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 SP 11/10F Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Dark Mandate (SR:67, 9/4) matches Distillation on ability but carries 6lb less at 9-7 versus 9-13, a meaningful weight advantage in a Class 6 AW handicap. The market has shortened 23% since opening — the strongest inward move in the field — indicating significant confidence from connections and professional money. Eve Johnson Houghton's 13% strike rate with Billy Loughnane (18%) is a competent booking, and the form string 063-42 shows a recent second placing in a run just 17 days ago, suggesting the horse is fit and in a consistent vein. DistFit:? and GoingFit:- are the concerns, but Wolverhampton's AW surface largely neutralises going sensitivities, and the 23% steam is the loudest signal in this field. Each-way alternative: Distillation. Main danger: Distillation — Distillation (SR:67, 4/5) matches Dark Mandate on SR and has excellent course form (W2P4 at Wolverhampton), making it the most obvious threat — the drift of 12% and top-weight burden of 9-13 are the only reasons to oppose the market leader.
Full result
Winner: Dark Mandate (GB) at SP 11/10F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Dark Mandate Fox #1 6/4
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2
Distillation Fox #2 6/5
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3
Deadline Fox #3 8/1
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4
Roccobear 10/1
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5
Able Astra 50/1
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6
Golden Mabel 28/1
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7
She's Crafty 80/1
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8
Independent Angel 200/1
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9
Sup of Red 25/1
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10
Caitlin G 20/1
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—
Venetian Romance 66/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3