Distillation comes into this in fine heart, winning last time out and a runner-up two starts back, and he has experience of both today's trip and going conditions. Carrying 139 lb from stall six, he represents a confident pick on current form.
Form last 6415621
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
67SR64RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Roccobear shaped with promise when third two starts back and has run over today's trip and going, with our rating of 67 suggesting he holds strong claims against this field; the main risk is a return from 83 days off, and he remains winless in recent starts.
Form last 6825635
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR67RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, Deadline at least shows he has run over today's trip and going before, but a string of fifth and sixth-place finishes offers little encouragement, and carrying 135 lb from stall seven leaves him with plenty to find against stronger-rated rivals.
Form last 666545
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR62RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked top of the field on our rating, Venetian Romance arrives on a quick turnaround of 17 days with distance and going experience in her favour, and her second three starts back suggests she retains ability — yet winless in her last six starts, she must find sharper form to justify that position.
Form last 6946269
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
36SR70RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Yet to win in his last five starts, Dark Mandate does bring distance and going experience to the table, and a run 17 days ago leaves him fit enough; however, a trainer strike-rate of just 3% over the past fortnight is a concern for a horse rated 58 officially.
Form last 6063-42
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR66RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 9/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked second of eleven in the field on our rating and drawn in stall one, Sup of Red has run over today's distance and going before and comes here fresh enough after 36 days, though she is yet to win in her last six starts and will need to reverse a run of below-par finishes to justify her strong ranking.
Form last 6252756
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
49SR67RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Winless in her last four starts and ranked ninth of eleven on our figures, Able Astra has little to recommend her on recent form — a fifth last time out following a ninth two starts back — though she has run over today's trip before and stall three is a neutral draw.
Form last 68-495
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
26SR51RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Landed a win two starts back but has found little either side of it, and three days between runs is a sharp turnaround; she has run over today's trip and going, and carries 129 lb from stall 11.
Form last 6868619
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
35SR55RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Rated well below the field on our figures and ranked tenth of eleven, Caitlin G faces a stiff task, her recent form a concern after finishing unplaced last time out, and only one win in her last six starts to speak of; experience over today's trip and going, plus a reasonable freshness at 30 days off, are slim consolations.
Form last 6754150
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
36SR50RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Yet to score in her last six starts, She's Crafty at least has experience of today's trip and going to call on, and a second four starts back offers some encouragement; however, an unplaced latest effort and 42 days off make this a tough ask from stall nine off 122 lb.
Form last 6452850
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
32SR60RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.
Winless in her last six starts, with two recent unplaced efforts among a run of struggles, Independent Angel faces a stiff task ranked last on our figures here; she has run over today's trip and going before, and seven days since her last outing at least means she arrives fresh.
Form last 6004709
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
20SR42RPR42OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 20 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 200/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Distillation owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
6/5Mark UsherRose Dawes(3)
69%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Dark Mandate
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
6/4 · Eve Johnson Houghton✓ Value Signal
Able Astra
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · Clive Cox◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Dark Mandate (SR:67, 9/4) matches Distillation on ability but carries 6lb less at 9-7 versus 9-13, a meaningful weight advantage in a Class 6 AW handicap. The market has shortened 23% since opening — the strongest inward move in the field — indicating significant confidence from connections and professional money. Eve Johnson Houghton's 13% strike rate with Billy Loughnane (18%) is a competent booking, and the form string 063-42 shows a recent second placing in a run just 17 days ago, suggesting the horse is fit and in a consistent vein. DistFit:? and GoingFit:- are the concerns, but Wolverhampton's AW surface largely neutralises going sensitivities, and the 23% steam is the loudest signal in this field.
Each-way alternative: Distillation.
Main danger: Distillation — Distillation (SR:67, 4/5) matches Dark Mandate on SR and has excellent course form (W2P4 at Wolverhampton), making it the most obvious threat — the drift of 12% and top-weight burden of 9-13 are the only reasons to oppose the market leader.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form string '063-42' includes a dash indicating a seasonal break, meaning the '42' runs are the entire current-season AW form — just two runs, with the latest second place coming at a different track…
Distillation holds identical SR:67 but has a Course:W2P4 record at Wolverhampton, making it far more proven on this specific track and surface — a concrete edge Dark Mandate cannot match.
GoingFit:- is flagged and, despite AW reducing going sensitivity, Wolverhampton's Tapeta does ride differently track-to-track and the horse's absence of AW course experience means this flag carries g…
Distillation's mark has risen +6 (MarkMv:+6) yet it still sits at 4/5 favourite — the market is backing the proven course specialist despite the weight concession, implying professional money is NOT…