Wolverhampton (AW) 18:00 RESULTED
Class 6 29 Sep 2026

Last Tuesday Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes

Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes · 7f36y

Official Result

Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Dark Mandate (GB) Billy Loughnane · Eve Johnson Houghton
    11/10F
  2. 6/4
  3. 15/2
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Distillation silks
Distillation
Age 3 · 9-13
415621
58
67
64
3
9-13
★★★☆☆
—
6/5 8/13 4/5
Distillation comes into this in fine heart, winning last time out and a runner-up two starts back, and he has experience of both today's trip and going conditions. Carrying 139 lb from stall six, he represents a confident pick on current form.
AI verdict

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Roccobear silks
Roccobear
Age 3 · 9-9
825635
60
50
67
3
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 12/1 7/1
Roccobear shaped with promise when third two starts back and has run over today's trip and going, with our rating of 67 suggesting he holds strong claims against this field; the main risk is a return from 83 days off, and he remains winless in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Deadline silks
Deadline
Age 3 · 9-9
66545
60
51
62
3
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 8/1 7/1
Winless in his last five starts, Deadline at least shows he has run over today's trip and going before, but a string of fifth and sixth-place finishes offers little encouragement, and carrying 135 lb from stall seven leaves him with plenty to find against stronger-rated rivals.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Venetian Romance silks
Venetian Romance
Age 3 · 9-9
946269
60
36
70
3
9-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
66/1 33/1 50/1
Ranked top of the field on our rating, Venetian Romance arrives on a quick turnaround of 17 days with distance and going experience in her favour, and her second three starts back suggests she retains ability — yet winless in her last six starts, she must find sharper form to justify that position.
AI verdict

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

5
Dark Mandate silks
Dark Mandate
Age 3 · 9-7
063-42
58
67
66
3
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
6/4 11/4 Evs
Yet to win in his last five starts, Dark Mandate does bring distance and going experience to the table, and a run 17 days ago leaves him fit enough; however, a trainer strike-rate of just 3% over the past fortnight is a concern for a horse rated 58 officially.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 9/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Sup of Red silks
Sup of Red
Age 3 · 9-7
252756
58
49
67
3
9-7
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1 14/1 18/1
Ranked second of eleven in the field on our rating and drawn in stall one, Sup of Red has run over today's distance and going before and comes here fresh enough after 36 days, though she is yet to win in her last six starts and will need to reverse a run of below-par finishes to justify her strong ranking.
AI verdict

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

7
Able Astra silks
Able Astra
Age 3 · 9-3
8-495
54
26
51
3
9-3
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 14/1 40/1
Winless in her last four starts and ranked ninth of eleven on our figures, Able Astra has little to recommend her on recent form — a fifth last time out following a ninth two starts back — though she has run over today's trip before and stall three is a neutral draw.
AI verdict

SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

8
Golden Mabel silks
Golden Mabel
Age 3 · 9-3
868619
54
35
55
3
9-3
★☆☆☆☆
—
28/1 12/1 18/1
Landed a win two starts back but has found little either side of it, and three days between runs is a sharp turnaround; she has run over today's trip and going, and carries 129 lb from stall 11.
AI verdict

SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

9
Caitlin G silks
Caitlin G
Age 3 · 8-13
754150
50
36
50
3
8-13
★☆☆☆☆
—
20/1 20/1 14/1
Rated well below the field on our figures and ranked tenth of eleven, Caitlin G faces a stiff task, her recent form a concern after finishing unplaced last time out, and only one win in her last six starts to speak of; experience over today's trip and going, plus a reasonable freshness at 30 days off, are slim consolations.
AI verdict

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

10
She's Crafty silks
She's Crafty
Age 3 · 8-10
452850
47
32
60
3
8-10
★☆☆☆☆
—
80/1 33/1 40/1
Yet to score in her last six starts, She's Crafty at least has experience of today's trip and going to call on, and a second four starts back offers some encouragement; however, an unplaced latest effort and 42 days off make this a tough ask from stall nine off 122 lb.
AI verdict

SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.

11
Independent Angel silks
Independent Angel
Age 3 · 8-9
004709
42
20
42
3
8-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
200/1 100/1 66/1
Winless in her last six starts, with two recent unplaced efforts among a run of struggles, Independent Angel faces a stiff task ranked last on our figures here; she has run over today's trip and going before, and seven days since her last outing at least means she arrives fresh.
AI verdict

SR 20 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 200/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Distillation 6/5 open 1.62 5/4 open 1.62 4/5 open 1.62 4/5 open 1.62 6/5 open 1.67 6/5 open 1.62 5/4 Paddy Power
2 Roccobear 10/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 11/1 Paddy Power
3 Deadline 8/1 open 15.00 15/2 open 9.00 7/1 open 10.00 7/1 open 10.00 17/2 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 17/2 William Hill
4 Venetian Romance 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 Bet365
5 Dark Mandate 6/4 open 4.50 13/8 open 5.00 1/1 open 3.75 1/1 open 3.75 6/4 open 3.75 13/8 open 3.75 13/8 Paddy Power
6 Sup of Red 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 17.00 18/1 18/1 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 25/1 Bet365
7 Able Astra 50/1 open 15.00 50/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 19.00 50/1 open 19.00 50/1 open 19.00 50/1 Bet365
8 Golden Mabel 28/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 15.00 28/1 Bet365
9 Caitlin G 20/1 20/1 14/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 20/1 Bet365
10 She's Crafty 80/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 51.00 40/1 40/1 66/1 open 41.00 80/1 open 41.00 80/1 Bet365
11 Independent Angel 200/1 open 101.00 200/1 open 151.00 66/1 open 126.00 66/1 open 126.00 200/1 open 126.00 200/1 open 126.00 200/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Distillation

Speculative

Distillation owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/5 Mark Usher Rose Dawes(3)
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Dark Mandate

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/4 · Eve Johnson Houghton
✓ Value Signal

Able Astra

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Clive Cox
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.8 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
30 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Distillation
50.2 6/5
2 5. Dark Mandate
48.5 6/4
3 3. Deadline
41.4 8/1
4 2. Roccobear
39.3 10/1
5 6. Sup of Red
33.0 25/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Dark Mandate
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 9-13
6/5
★★★☆☆ SR 67 🐾 —

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-7
6/4
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾 —

SR 67 suggests ability but 9/4 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-9
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾 —

SR 51 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 3 · 9-9
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾 —

SR 50 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 8-13
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 36 🐾 —

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Dark Mandate
Confidence: Speculative

Dark Mandate (SR:67, 9/4) matches Distillation on ability but carries 6lb less at 9-7 versus 9-13, a meaningful weight advantage in a Class 6 AW handicap. The market has shortened 23% since opening — the strongest inward move in the field — indicating significant confidence from connections and professional money. Eve Johnson Houghton's 13% strike rate with Billy Loughnane (18%) is a competent booking, and the form string 063-42 shows a recent second placing in a run just 17 days ago, suggesting the horse is fit and in a consistent vein. DistFit:? and GoingFit:- are the concerns, but Wolverhampton's AW surface largely neutralises going sensitivities, and the 23% steam is the loudest signal in this field. Each-way alternative: Distillation. Main danger: Distillation — Distillation (SR:67, 4/5) matches Dark Mandate on SR and has excellent course form (W2P4 at Wolverhampton), making it the most obvious threat — the drift of 12% and top-weight burden of 9-13 are the only reasons to oppose the market leader.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string '063-42' includes a dash indicating a seasonal break, meaning the '42' runs are the entire current-season AW form — just two runs, with the latest second place coming at a different track…
  • Distillation holds identical SR:67 but has a Course:W2P4 record at Wolverhampton, making it far more proven on this specific track and surface — a concrete edge Dark Mandate cannot match.
  • GoingFit:- is flagged and, despite AW reducing going sensitivity, Wolverhampton's Tapeta does ride differently track-to-track and the horse's absence of AW course experience means this flag carries g…
  • Distillation's mark has risen +6 (MarkMv:+6) yet it still sits at 4/5 favourite — the market is backing the proven course specialist despite the weight concession, implying professional money is NOT…
Shortlist Dark Mandate, Distillation, Deadline
Each-way: Distillation Danger: Distillation

🗺 The Course Class 6

7f36y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Wolverhampton (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade