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Invades Day Party Handicap Stakes

14:48 Musselburgh Wed 30 Sep 2026 7f15y Class 6 Good 11 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Monhammer silks

Monhammer

SPECULATIVE Advised 5/1 SP 5/1 Est. 32%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Monhammer (SR:69, 5/1) is the highest-rated horse in this Class 6 field and carries the most convincing multi-signal case: a 20% market steam (Mkt:in20%) signals informed money, Course:W4P11 at Musselburgh is exceptional specialist form, a drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) eases the task, and Clifford Lee's 17% career strike rate is the best jockey booking on the card. The 8yo's recent form of 461163 shows a win two starts ago and a third last time, suggesting he's in a decent vein. The MarkMv:+7 is the one note of caution — he's 7lb higher than his last win — but the class drop compensates, and the SR:69 superiority over the field (next best Kelpie Grey SR:67) combined with course mastery makes him the clear selection. Each-way alternative: Kelpie Grey. Main danger: Kelpie Grey — Kelpie Grey (SR:67, 9/4) has steamed 25% in the market, holds Course:W2P2 at Musselburgh, carries only 9-4 (4lb less than Monhammer), and Jim Goldie/Paul Mulrennan is a sharp yard-jockey combination with matching 14% career strike rates — the visor first-time could sharpen up a horse who's been running well enough to justify favouritism, and the weight advantage over Monhammer is real.

Verify· #20612

Full result

Winner: Monhammer (GB) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Monhammer silks Monhammer Fox #1 Linda Perratt · Clifford Lee 9/2
  2. 2 Rwenearlytheredad silks Rwenearlytheredad Declan Carroll · Zak Wheatley 10/1
  3. 3 Kelpie Grey silks Kelpie Grey Fox #2 Jim Goldie · Paul Mulrennan 9/4
  4. 4 Concert Boy silks Concert Boy Katie Scott · Sam James 25/1
  5. 5 Misemerald silks Misemerald Fox #3 Philip Kirby · Kevin Stott 5/1
  6. 6 Keep Me Stable silks Keep Me Stable Linda Perratt · Mark Winn 20/1
  7. 7 Escape Act silks Escape Act Jean McGregor · Greg Fairley 40/1
  8. 8 Filey Beach silks Filey Beach Fox #4 Ruth Carr · James Sullivan 5/1
  9. 9 Jkr Cobbler silks Jkr Cobbler Iain Jardine · Andrew Mullen 10/1
  10. 10 Due Respect silks Due Respect Catch Bissett · Rhys Elliott(5) 18/1
  11. 11 Pallas Lord silks Pallas Lord Donald Whillans · Jason Hart 18/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Monhammer silks Monhammer 5/1 SP 5/1 🏆 WON
  2. 2 Kelpie Grey silks Kelpie Grey 9/4 🥉 3RD
  3. 3 Misemerald silks Misemerald 5/1 5TH
  4. 4 Filey Beach silks Filey Beach 5/1 8TH