Invades Day Party Handicap Stakes · 7f15y
SR 58 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 51 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Filey Beach | 5/1 open 4.00 | 5/1 open 3.75 | 5/1 open 4.00 | 5/1 open 4.00 | 5/1 open 4.00 | 11/2 open 4.00 | 11/2 Betfred |
| 2 Jkr Cobbler | 10/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Pallas Lord | 18/1 open 8.00 | 22/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 20/1 open 10.00 | 20/1 open 10.00 | 22/1 Paddy Power |
| 4 Escape Act | 40/1 open 19.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Rwenearlytheredad | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 17/2 open 11.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Monhammer | 9/2 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 Betfred |
| 7 Keep Me Stable | 20/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 14/1 open 26.00 | 20/1 open 26.00 | 16/1 open 26.00 | 18/1 open 29.00 | 22/1 Paddy Power |
| 8 Kelpie Grey | 9/4 open 6.00 | 9/4 open 6.00 | 9/4 open 3.50 | 9/4 open 3.50 | 9/4 open 3.50 | 2/1 open 3.50 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 9 Misemerald | 5/1 open 6.50 | 5/1 | 5/1 open 6.50 | 5/1 open 6.50 | 5/1 open 6.50 | 5/1 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Due Respect | 18/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 Paddy Power |
| 11 Concert Boy | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Monhammer owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 58 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Monhammer (SR:69, 5/1) is the highest-rated horse in this Class 6 field and carries the most convincing multi-signal case: a 20% market steam (Mkt:in20%) signals informed money, Course:W4P11 at Musselburgh is exceptional specialist form, a drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) eases the task, and Clifford Lee's 17% career strike rate is the best jockey booking on the card. The 8yo's recent form of 461163 shows a win two starts ago and a third last time, suggesting he's in a decent vein. The MarkMv:+7 is the one note of caution — he's 7lb higher than his last win — but the class drop compensates, and the SR:69 superiority over the field (next best Kelpie Grey SR:67) combined with course mastery makes him the clear selection. Each-way alternative: Kelpie Grey. Main danger: Kelpie Grey — Kelpie Grey (SR:67, 9/4) has steamed 25% in the market, holds Course:W2P2 at Musselburgh, carries only 9-4 (4lb less than Monhammer), and Jim Goldie/Paul Mulrennan is a sharp yard-jockey combination with matching 14% career strike rates — the visor first-time could sharpen up a horse who's been running well enough to justify favouritism, and the weight advantage over Monhammer is real.