← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Brenda Anderson Memorial Handicap Steeplechase
Mr Fox’s call
Swing Time
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Swing Time (SR:82, 10/3) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries a relatively manageable 11-5, giving it a meaningful lbs edge over top-weight Kalsman (SR:81, 12-0). The recent form line 58P-61 shows a last-time-out win, confirming the horse is in current form and operating at a level that matches today's class. V T O'Brien's stable has placed this horse in a race where its SR advantage is clear, and at 10/3 the market has it as a clear favourite on merit. The main concerns are DistFit:- and GoingFit:- — the distance and going are not proven strengths — but the SR lead and winning momentum from last time out outweigh those reservations in what is a modest €6,000 handicap field. Each-way alternative: Mobile Mamma. Main danger: Mobile Mamma — Mobile Mamma (SR:78, 9/1) is the only runner with GoingFit:+ for today's good ground, carries a light 10-13 with MarkMv:-1 (dropping off a mark below last win), and jockey Sam Ewing posts a solid 12% career strike rate — a combination that gives it a genuine live chance to outrun its price.
Full result
Winner: Andyourbirdcansing (IRE) at SP 14/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Andyourbirdcansing 12/1
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2
Dunany Point 14/1
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3
Island McCoo 17/2
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4
Three Tribes 66/1
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5
Brother Hollie 14/1
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6
Mobile Mamma Fox #2 10/1
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7
Set The Tone 16/1
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8
U Asking Me 40/1
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9
Poppycon 25/1
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10
Cornaroya Rocco 16/1
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Kalsman Fox #3 14/1
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Hurricane Honey 12/1
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Wing Back Fox #4 3/1
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Swing Time Fox #1 5/2
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Malton Groove 18/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Swing Time 10/3
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2
Mobile Mamma 9/1 6TH
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3
Kalsman 11/1
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4
Wing Back 5/1