Kalsman arrives fit after just 12 days, with a second and two thirds in his last four outings, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our top-rated runner at 104, he is yet to win in recent form, though the 168 lb burden is a mild concern.
Form last 6903324
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
81SR104RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fit after a run five days ago, Cornaroya Rocco has finished fourth in two of his last three starts, has run over today's trip and going, and our rating has him second of 15; the risk is that he is yet to win in his last six, and 164 lb is a big burden.
Form last 64P2044
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
80SR102RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Hurricane Honey returns after 68 days off, third last time and second five starts back, with experience of today's trip and going. She's yet to win in her last five, though, and carrying 163 lb off 95 looks a stiff ask.
Form last 620-703
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR98RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Poppycon has run over today's trip and going, and a second three starts back is his best recent effort, while our rating of 101 puts him third of 15 and 7 lb clear of his official 94. Yet to score in his last five, and two unplaced runs latest, so form is the concern.
Form last 6F-4200
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
66SR101RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Wing Back has been beaten in each of his last five starts, with finishes of seventh, sixth and ninth before an unplaced run and a fall, though he has run on today's going before. Carrying 160 lb off 92 after 30 days off, he looks mid-pack at best, and our rating has him ninth of 15.
Form last 6F0-967
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
79SR92RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Swing Time won last time out, but that sits among a sixth, a pulled up and an eighth in his other recent runs, and he carries 159 lb off a mark of 91. Ranked 13 of 15 on our figures, he's hard to fancy, though he has run over today's trip and going.
Form last 658P-61
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR88RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Island McCoo has finished fifth, then fourth, in his last two starts and won four runs back, but he's had 57 days off and carries a hefty 157 lb. He has run over today's trip and going, while our rating of 91 puts him tenth of 15.
Form last 6421845
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
80SR91RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Dunany Point has a third three starts back but was carried out last time, and he is yet to win in his last five, with a pulled up in the mix too. He has run over today's trip and going and our rating of 94 sits above his mark of 85, though 153 lb is a hefty burden.
Form last 6-0P37C
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR94RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Mobile Mamma is winless in her last five, though she has been placed three times, including a third last time out, and has run over today's trip and going. Ranked 11th of 15 on our figures and carrying 153 lb after 33 days off, she is hard to fancy.
Form last 653-203
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
78SR90RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Two unplaced runs since winning three starts back, but Andyourbirdcansing has run over today's trip and going and returns after 27 days. Carrying 152 lb off an official mark of 84 is a burden, though our rating of 92 ranks her eighth of 15.
Form last 6565100
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
78SR92RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Brother Hollie is winless in his last five, but a third two starts back shows he can run well, and he has run on today's going before, fresh after 23 days off. Our rating has him fourth of 15, though 149 lb is a hefty burden off 92.
Form last 667-830
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR99RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fell last time out after a sixth, a third and a second in his previous runs, so Malton Groove is yet to win in his last five starts, though he has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 148 lb off 80 after 41 days off, he looks mid-pack at best.
Form last 6-7236F
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR97RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Hard to fancy: U Asking Me is winless in his last five, having fallen last time, and before that he was eighth, unplaced, pulled up and seventh, after 47 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 89 is his one plus, though it ranks him 12th of 15.
Form last 6-7P08F
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
51SR89RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Set The Tone is hard to fancy after an unplaced effort last time and a pulled-up run in her last six, though she did win once and finished second twice in that spell. She has run over today's trip and going, but 145 lb and a bottom-ranked 15 of 15 on our figures make it a tough ask.
Form last 6P21620
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
76SR82RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Three Tribes is hard to fancy after finishing ninth last time out and pulling up in two of his previous three outings, though he did win four starts back and has run on today's going before. Carrying 141 lb off 73, he ranks 14 of 15 on our figures.
Form last 6P1-PP9
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR83RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Swing Time owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/2V T O'BrienAidan Kelly
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Wing Back
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
3/1 · S Curling✓ Value Signal
Three Tribes
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
66/1 · Barry T Murphy◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Swing Time (SR:82, 10/3) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries a relatively manageable 11-5, giving it a meaningful lbs edge over top-weight Kalsman (SR:81, 12-0). The recent form line 58P-61 shows a last-time-out win, confirming the horse is in current form and operating at a level that matches today's class. V T O'Brien's stable has placed this horse in a race where its SR advantage is clear, and at 10/3 the market has it as a clear favourite on merit. The main concerns are DistFit:- and GoingFit:- — the distance and going are not proven strengths — but the SR lead and winning momentum from last time out outweigh those reservations in what is a modest €6,000 handicap field.
Each-way alternative: Mobile Mamma.
Main danger: Mobile Mamma — Mobile Mamma (SR:78, 9/1) is the only runner with GoingFit:+ for today's good ground, carries a light 10-13 with MarkMv:-1 (dropping off a mark below last win), and jockey Sam Ewing posts a solid 12% career strike rate — a combination that gives it a genuine live chance to outrun its price.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
MarkMv:+13 is the steepest mark rise in the field — the handicapper has responded aggressively to the last-time-out win, and Swing Time must now prove it warrants a 13-lb higher rating under competit…
Both DistFit and GoingFit are unproven ('-'), meaning today's track conditions and trip are untested — a double unknown is a material risk at a track like Sligo where going and layout vary sharply.
Trainer V T O'Brien runs at only 4% strike rate (162 runners), one of the weakest trainer stats in this field, undermining confidence the stable can deliver on a well-fancied runner.
The form line 58P-61 includes a mid-sequence pull-up (P), suggesting fragility; the last-time-out win may flatter given the subsequent handicap reassessment of +13 lbs leaves little margin for error.
ShortlistSwing Time, Mobile Mamma, Kalsman, Wing Back