← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Nursery Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Tumishi
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/2 SP 11/2 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Tumishi (SR:88, 11/2) is the second-highest rated runner in the field and carries a workable 9-3, giving it a meaningful SR edge over most rivals while avoiding the top-weight burden. Crucially, it is the only runner with a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, which in a field full of GoingFit:? unknowns is a concrete differentiator. The 17% market move inward signals money is arriving with purpose, and trainer James Fanshawe's 18% strike rate with 827 runners shows consistent competence at this level. The MarkMv:+2 is a modest rise and well within Tumishi's capability given the SR advantage. Each-way alternative: Pride of Toledo. Main danger: Pride of Toledo — Pride of Toledo holds the field's highest SR at 92, carries only 1lb more than Tumishi at 9-9, and Clive Cox's 17% yard strike rate with Callum Rodriguez's 19% jockey record is a strong connections pairing at a price that represents fair market value at 7/2.
Full result
Winner: Tumishi (GB) at SP 11/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Tumishi Fox #1 6/1
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2
Pure Mint 7/1
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3
Washington Royale Fox #3 11/2
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4
Pride of Toledo Fox #2 7/2
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5
Horndean 5/1
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6
Kingdom of Kush Fox #4 15/2
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7
Musical Force 22/1
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8
Farasan 10/1
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9
Donna Beauty 18/1
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10
Undercover Affair 18/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Tumishi 11/2 SP 11/2 🏆 WON
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2
Pride of Toledo 7/2 🏁 4TH
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3
Washington Royale 8/1 🥉 3RD
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4
Kingdom of Kush 17/2 6TH