Nottingham 13:58 RESULTED
Class 4 1 Oct 2026

Last Thursday Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Nursery Handicap Stakes

Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Nursery Handicap Stakes · 0m6f18y

Official Result

Racedays For £9 At Nottingham Racecourse Nursery Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Tumishi (GB) Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe
    11/2
  2. 9/2
  3. 9/2
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Big race Sun 4 Oct Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe ParisLongchamp · 15:05

Bellewstown

13:00–17:05 · 8 races

Nottingham

13:23–16:50 · 7 races

Salisbury

13:30–17:25 · 8 races

Clonmel

13:49–17:17 · 7 races

Southwell

14:15–17:10 · 6 races

Newcastle (AW)

17:00–20:30 · 8 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Pride of Toledo silks
Pride of Toledo
Age 2 · 9-9
5145
85
92
96
2
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 FCST 10/3
Pride of Toledo showed he can win with a victory three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and on this going before, returning fresh after 20 days. Our top-rated runner at 96 is the one to beat, though a fifth last time out is the small blemish.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Pure Mint silks
Pure Mint
Age 2 · 9-8
16
84
84
89
2
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
7/1 9/2 13/2
Pure Mint won two starts back before a sixth last time out, and he returns fresh after 27 days having run over today's trip and on this going. Our rating of 89 ranks him third of the 10 runners, but the main risk is a big weight of 134 lb from draw 6.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Washington Royale silks
Washington Royale
Age 2 · 9-3
45518
79
82
84
2
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
11/2 8/1 4/1
Washington Royale won two starts back but was eighth last time out, and he returns after 20 days with experience of today's trip and going. Our rating of 84 ranks him fifth of ten, so he looks a mid-pack option carrying 129 lb from draw 10.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Undercover Affair silks
Undercover Affair
Age 2 · 9-3
231857
79
67
89
2
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
18/1 FCST 16/1
Undercover Affair won four starts back and has been second and third before that, while his 89 rating ranks him second of 10, and he has run over today's trip and going before. The main risk is a slide to seventh last time out, with a fifth and an eighth before it, and a stable short of winners.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Tumishi silks
Tumishi
Age 2 · 9-3
4317
79
88
86
2
9-3
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 9/2 11/2
Tumishi won two starts back and was third the run before, so a colt with a win in his last four and 20 days since a seventh last time out looks a live threat, having run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 86 ranks him fourth of ten, and the main risk is that flat latest effort under 129 lb.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Kingdom of Kush silks
Kingdom of Kush
Age 2 · 9-0
24
76
76
79
2
9-0
★★★☆☆
—
15/2 9/1 15/2
Kingdom of Kush arrives fit after 15 days off, a fourth last time out and a second two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going, though he's yet to win in his last two starts. Our rating of 79 ranks him sixth of ten, so he looks more of a midfield player from draw 1.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Donna Beauty silks
Donna Beauty
Age 2 · 9-0
671
76
69
76
2
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
18/1 8/1 18/1
Donna Beauty won last time out, but that came after a seventh and a sixth in the two runs before, so the form is patchy. She has run over today's trip and is fresh from a 20-day break, yet our rating of 76 ranks her ninth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Farasan silks
Farasan
Age 2 · 9-0
644
76
75
78
2
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 6/1 9/1
Farasan is winless in his last three, finishing a fourth last time out, another fourth two starts back and a sixth three runs ago, which makes him hard to fancy. He is fresh enough after 17 days and has run over today's trip, but our rating of 78 ranks him eighth of ten.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Musical Force silks
Musical Force
Age 2 · 8-11
931
73
65
73
2
8-11
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 17/2 22/1
Musical Force won last time out and was third two starts back, which is the best of her profile, and she has run over today's trip. However, 44 days off, 123 lb and our ranking of 10th of 10 at a rating of 73 make her hard to fancy from draw 4.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Horndean silks
Horndean
Age 2 · 8-10
3462
72
78
78
2
8-10
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 5/1 9/2
Horndean arrives in decent heart after a second last time out, with a third four starts back, and he's fresh enough after 21 days; he has run over today's trip but is winless in his last four and only ranks seventh of ten on our rating of 78.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Pride of Toledo 7/2 7/2 open 4.33 10/3 10/3 7/2 7/2 7/2 Bet365
2 Pure Mint 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 13/2 open 7.00 7/1 Bet365
3 Washington Royale 11/2 open 11.00 5/1 open 9.00 5/1 open 10.00 5/1 open 10.00 4/1 open 10.00 5/1 open 11.00 11/2 Bet365
4 Undercover Affair 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 open 21.00 18/1 Bet365
5 Tumishi 6/1 open 13.00 11/2 open 8.50 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 6/1 Bet365
6 Kingdom of Kush 15/2 open 12.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 10.00 9/1 Paddy Power
7 Donna Beauty 18/1 open 9.00 20/1 open 10.00 20/1 open 9.50 20/1 open 9.50 20/1 open 10.00 20/1 open 10.00 20/1 Paddy Power
8 Farasan 10/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 8.00 10/1 Bet365
9 Musical Force 22/1 open 9.50 28/1 open 11.00 25/1 open 11.00 25/1 open 11.00 25/1 open 11.00 28/1 open 11.00 28/1 Paddy Power
10 Horndean 5/1 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 5/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Tumishi

Speculative

Tumishi owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (72). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/1 James Fanshawe Daniel Muscutt
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Pure Mint

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/1 · Simon & Ed Crisford
✓ Value Signal

Musical Force

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · Harry Eustace
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
72 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +15.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Tumishi
54.7 6/1
2 2. Pure Mint
53.6 7/1
3 1. Pride of Toledo
53.2 7/2
4 3. Washington Royale
50.3 11/2
5 6. Kingdom of Kush
50.0 15/2
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Tumishi
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 9-9
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾 —

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 2 · 8-10
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-3
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 2 · 9-3
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾 —

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-8
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 2 · 9-0
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 2 · 9-0
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾 —

SR 75 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 2 · 9-3
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾 —

SR 67 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 2 · 9-0
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Tumishi
Confidence: Speculative

Tumishi (SR:88, 11/2) is the second-highest rated runner in the field and carries a workable 9-3, giving it a meaningful SR edge over most rivals while avoiding the top-weight burden. Crucially, it is the only runner with a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, which in a field full of GoingFit:? unknowns is a concrete differentiator. The 17% market move inward signals money is arriving with purpose, and trainer James Fanshawe's 18% strike rate with 827 runners shows consistent competence at this level. The MarkMv:+2 is a modest rise and well within Tumishi's capability given the SR advantage. Each-way alternative: Pride of Toledo. Main danger: Pride of Toledo — Pride of Toledo holds the field's highest SR at 92, carries only 1lb more than Tumishi at 9-9, and Clive Cox's 17% yard strike rate with Callum Rodriguez's 19% jockey record is a strong connections pairing at a price that represents fair market value at 7/2.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Tumishi's last run shows a '7' — a deteriorating recent form figure that suggests it may be heading the wrong way coming into today.
  • Pride of Toledo (SR:92, 7/2) holds a 4-point SR superiority and has the Callum Rodriguez/Clive Cox combo both firing at 17-19% — a more potent winning pairing than Fanshawe/Muscutt (18%/14%).
  • Jockey Daniel Muscutt's 14% strike rate is the lowest of the leading fancies' jockeys, and his relatively modest book suggests limited top-stable confidence behind today's ride.
  • At 11/2, Tumishi is not the market leader despite the inward move — the market still rates Pride of Toledo more highly, and that horse has fresher form figures (5145 vs 4317) with no class drift conc…
Shortlist Tumishi, Pride of Toledo, Washington Royale, Kingdom of Kush
Each-way: Pride of Toledo Danger: Pride of Toledo

🗺 The Course Class 4

0m6f18y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Nottingham Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade