← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
£9 Racedays At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Kaindy
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/11 SP 1/1F Est. 34%
Mr Fox says
Kaindy (SR:96, 10/11) is the clear SR leader in this field by a margin of 7 points over Revelance (SR:89) and carries a manageable 9-11, not the top weight. Roger Varian's yard operates at 20% strike rate and has booked Ray Dawson; the market has shortened 5% since opening, confirming stable confidence. The form string 72-312 shows a consistent progressive profile — finishing second last time out at the same class — and while DistFit and GoingFit are both marked '?' (limited sample), good ground on a flat mile is an entirely standard test for a lightly-raced 3yo improver from this yard. The SR advantage is decisive: no other runner combines top ability with this weight and market trajectory. Each-way alternative: Revelance. Main danger: Revelance — Revelance (SR:89, 7/2) has steamed in 29% with James Doyle booked for a Ralph Beckett yard running at 19%, drops two class levels, and at 7/2 the market implies genuine confidence that a horse of this ability can dominate at Class 4.
Full result
Winner: Kaindy (IRE) at SP 1/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Kaindy Fox #1 4/5
-
2
Empire of Light 12/1
-
3
Revelance Fox #2 9/2
-
4
Phantom Watch Fox #3 9/1
-
5
Itsatenfromlen 22/1
-
6
West Byfleet 18/1
-
7
Eagle Bay Fox #4 10/1
-
8
We Dare To Dream 40/1
-
9
Rogue Defence 14/1
-
—
Caim -
-
—
The Sweet Escape 14/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
-
2
-
3
-
4