Nottingham 15:43 RESULTED
Class 4 1 Oct 2026

Last Thursday £9 Racedays At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes

£9 Racedays At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes · 1m0f75y

Official Result

£9 Racedays At Nottingham Racecourse Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Kaindy (IRE) Ray Dawson · Roger Varian
    1/1F
  2. 11/1
  3. 7/2
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days, 1 hour ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Empire of Light silks
Empire of Light
Age 5 · 10-0
1-1100
85
63
88
5
10-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
12/1
Three wins in his last five starts is a decent profile, but he's been unplaced in his last two, and that cools the enthusiasm despite 25 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, carries 140 lb from stall one, and our rating of 88 ranks him fifth of eleven.
AI verdict

SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

2
Revelance silks
Revelance
Age 4 · 10-0
9-7616
85
89
90
4
10-0
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 11/2 9/2
Revelance is a leading danger, having won two starts back and sitting 31 days since her last run, with experience of today's trip and going; our rating of 90 ranks her fourth of 11. The main risk is inconsistency, as she was sixth last time out and has finished sixth or worse in her other recent runs.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Itsatenfromlen silks
Itsatenfromlen
Age 4 · 9-12
0719-0
83
62
99
4
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 25/1 20/1
Itsatenfromlen won three starts back and has run on today's going before, while our ratings have him ranked first of 11 at 99. The main risk is a 265-day absence, with a yard in poor form at 1/25 over the last 14 days.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Caim silks
Caim
Age 3 · 9-11
12-496
85
80
93
3
9-11
★★☆☆☆
—
SP 9/1 11/1
Caim has a win and a second in her last five, and at 26 days since her last run she is fresh without being rusty, while she has run over today's trip before. A sixth last time out is the one reservation, but our 93 rating ranks her second of 11 and makes her a tentative pick from draw 7.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Kaindy silks
Kaindy
Age 3 · 9-11
72-312
85
96
81
3
9-11
★★★☆☆
—
4/5 10/11 2/3
Kaindy's recent form reads well, with a second last time out, a winner two starts back and a third before that, but he is hard to fancy as our ninth-ranked runner of 11 on a rating of 81, with 137 lb to carry off an official mark of 85. He has run over today's trip and is fresh enough after 21 days.
AI verdict

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
We Dare To Dream silks
We Dare To Dream
Age 4 · 9-11
20060-
82
55
93
4
9-11
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1 12/1 40/1
Our rating of 93 makes him a leading threat, ranked third of 11, and he has run over today's trip and on this going before, having finished second five starts back. The main risk is a 358-day absence, with his last four runs all unplaced or a sixth.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Rogue Defence silks
Rogue Defence
Age 3 · 9-10
15143
84
78
87
3
9-10
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 7/1 14/1
Rogue Defence arrives in solid nick, third last time out and a winner three starts back, with two wins in his last five, and he has run over today's trip. Against that, he carries 136 lb from draw 10 and our rating of 87 ranks him only sixth of 11.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Eagle Bay silks
Eagle Bay
Age 3 · 9-8
3-1175
82
82
86
3
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 14/1 9/1
Eagle Bay won three and four starts back but has tailed off since, a fifth last time out and a seventh before that, though he's fresh enough after 19 days and has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 134 lb from draw 8, he ranks eighth of 11 on our rating of 86.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
The Sweet Escape silks
The Sweet Escape
Age 4 · 9-5
611210
76
75
80
4
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 8/1 14/1
Three wins in his last six starts is a strong record, and he has run over today's trip and going, but he was unplaced last time out, 26 days ago. Carrying 131 lb from draw 4, he is hard to fancy with our figures ranking him 10th of 11.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Phantom Watch silks
Phantom Watch
Age 3 · 9-1
-41252
75
86
86
3
9-1
★★★☆☆
—
9/1 6/1 9/1
Phantom Watch was second last time out, 17 days ago, and has a win four starts back, so he arrives in solid form and has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 86 only ranks him seventh of 11, though, and a fifth two starts back shows his consistency has wobbled.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
West Byfleet silks
West Byfleet
Age 3 · 9-0
0245
74
54
75
3
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
18/1 14/1 16/1
West Byfleet is winless in his last four, with a fifth last time out and a second three starts back, and he returns after 87 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, but ranking last of eleven on our figures makes him hard to fancy from draw 9.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Empire of Light 12/1 14/1 14/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 Betfred
2 Revelance 9/2 open 8.50 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 Bet365
3 Itsatenfromlen 22/1 open 26.00 25/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 41.00 22/1 open 41.00 20/1 open 41.00 20/1 open 41.00 25/1 Paddy Power
4 Caim 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 Bet365
5 Kaindy 4/5 open 2.50 4/5 open 2.25 4/6 open 1.91 4/6 open 1.91 5/6 open 1.91 4/5 open 1.91 5/6 William Hill
6 We Dare To Dream 40/1 open 13.00 66/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 66/1 Paddy Power
7 Rogue Defence 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 Bet365
8 Eagle Bay 10/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 17.00 10/1 Bet365
9 The Sweet Escape 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 Bet365
10 Phantom Watch 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 Bet365
11 West Byfleet 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 18/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Kaindy

Speculative

Kaindy owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/5 Roger Varian Ray Dawson
74% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Revelance

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Ralph Beckett
✓ Value Signal

We Dare To Dream

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · David O'Meara
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
96 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Kaindy
57.7 4/5
2 2. Revelance
53.8 9/2
3 8. Eagle Bay
52.2 10/1
4 10. Phantom Watch
49.6 9/1
5 7. Rogue Defence
47.5 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Kaindy
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 3 · 9-11
4/5
★★★☆☆ SR 96 🐾 —

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 10-0
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾 —

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 3 · 9-1
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾 —

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 9-8
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 5 · 10-0
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

7
Age 3 · 9-10
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 4 · 9-5
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾 —

SR 75 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 3 · 9-0
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾 —

SR 54 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Kaindy
Confidence: Speculative

Kaindy (SR:96, 10/11) is the clear SR leader in this field by a margin of 7 points over Revelance (SR:89) and carries a manageable 9-11, not the top weight. Roger Varian's yard operates at 20% strike rate and has booked Ray Dawson; the market has shortened 5% since opening, confirming stable confidence. The form string 72-312 shows a consistent progressive profile — finishing second last time out at the same class — and while DistFit and GoingFit are both marked '?' (limited sample), good ground on a flat mile is an entirely standard test for a lightly-raced 3yo improver from this yard. The SR advantage is decisive: no other runner combines top ability with this weight and market trajectory. Each-way alternative: Revelance. Main danger: Revelance — Revelance (SR:89, 7/2) has steamed in 29% with James Doyle booked for a Ralph Beckett yard running at 19%, drops two class levels, and at 7/2 the market implies genuine confidence that a horse of this ability can dominate at Class 4.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Both DistFit and GoingFit are marked '?' — Kaindy has no confirmed form over this exact trip/going combination, a meaningful unknown at short odds of 10/11.
  • Ray Dawson's 14% strike rate is notably below the yard's 20% — Varian's confidence is partly inferred from a modest 5% market move, while Revelance (James Doyle, 21% SR) has drifted in 29% with stron…
  • Form string 72-312 includes a 2nd last time out but also a '3' and a '1' sandwiched around inconsistent finishes — the progressive profile is less linear than claimed and the sole win may flatter.
  • Phantom Watch (SR:86) is only 17 days since last run, freshest in the field, and has drifted out 36% in the market suggesting connections are not bullish — but Eagle Bay (in 14%) and Revelance (in 29…
Shortlist Kaindy, Revelance, Phantom Watch, Eagle Bay
Each-way: Revelance Danger: Revelance

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m0f75y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Nottingham Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade