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Old Stag 70th Birthday Handicap Hurdle Race

16:35 Southwell Thu 01 Oct 2026 1m7f182y Class 4 Good 9 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Duke of Luckley silks

Duke of Luckley

SPECULATIVE Advised 6/1 Est. 28%

🏁 4TH

Mr Fox says

Duke of Luckley (SR:122, 6/1, Wgt:11-13) is the highest-rated horse in the field with confirmed DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ at today's trip and going — the only runner to tick both boxes positively. His Course:W5P7 record at Southwell is exceptional and represents a massive edge at a specialist venue where track familiarity matters enormously. The -5lb mark drop (MarkMv:-5) and class drop (ClassMv:↓1) make the handicap conditions attractive. The 86% market drift is a concern that cannot be ignored, but the visor (HG:v) is retained from recent runs where he recorded -13V11, suggesting the quirky void run is an anomaly and the 1-1 either side shows genuine ability. The form, course record, going/distance fit, and class drop combine as a compelling multi-signal case that outweighs the drift. Each-way alternative: Max of Stars. Main danger: Granny Hawkins — Granny Hawkins (SR:117, 9/2) carries the best AI star rating (★★★★☆) and a strong recent form string of 2111-3 for Alan King with Tom Cannon aboard — a high-calibre yard/jockey combination — and GoingFit:+ confirms she handles today's conditions well despite the +8lb mark rise.

Verify· #20887

Full result

Winner: Wild Goose (IRE) at SP 11/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Wild Goose silks Wild Goose Fox #4 Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls · Aamilah Aswat(10) 13/2
  2. 2 Bluegrass silks Bluegrass Stuart Edmunds · Charlie Hammond 5/1
  3. 3 King Ulanda silks King Ulanda Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero · Jack Tudor 15/2
  4. 4 Duke of Luckley silks Duke of Luckley Fox #1 Martin Keighley · Freddie Keighley(5) 5/1
  5. 5 Granny Hawkins silks Granny Hawkins Fox #2 Alan King · Tom Cannon 9/2
  6. 6 Last Kingdom silks Last Kingdom Faye Bramley · Richie McLernon 12/1
  7. 7 King of The Road silks King of The Road Ben Pauling · Callum Pritchard 9/2
  8. — Pigeon House silks Pigeon House Charles & Adam Pogson · Beau Morgan(5) 20/1
  9. — Max of Stars silks Max of Stars Fox #3 Ollie Pears · Brian Hughes 13/2

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Duke of Luckley silks Duke of Luckley 6/1 🏁 4TH
  2. 2 Granny Hawkins silks Granny Hawkins 9/2 5TH
  3. 3 Max of Stars silks Max of Stars 6/1
  4. 4 Wild Goose silks Wild Goose 11/2 SP 11/2 🏆 WON